Football · England National League South · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: AFC Totton vs Hampton & Richmond

Team pages: AFC Totton · Hampton & Richmond

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

AFC Totton1.69

Hampton & Richmond1.26

1X2

47% 26% 28%

AFC Totton Draw Hampton & Richmond

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Totton 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWLLD

Hampton & Richmond 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AFC Totton 0–1–1 Hampton & Richmond (2 last)

AFC Totton1-1Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond2-0AFC Totton

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Totton 1493 · Hampton & Richmond 1495

	AFC Totton	Draw	Hampton & Richmond
Our model	46%	26%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Totton	Hampton & Richmond
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:53 +1’	1.91	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Totton 0–1–1 Hampton & Richmond

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/26 England National League South	AFC Totton	1-1 HT 1-1	Hampton & Richmond
02/12/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	2-0 HT 1-0	AFC Totton

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dag & Red	6	5	0	1	8	4	15
2	Maidstone Utd	6	4	1	1	14	7	13
3	Folkestone Invicta	5	3	2	0	11	3	11
4	Weston Super Mare	6	3	2	1	12	5	11
5	Tonbridge Angels	6	3	1	2	13	7	10
6	Truro City	5	3	1	1	7	1	10
7	Dorking Wanderers	6	3	1	2	10	5	10
8	Farnborough	5	3	1	1	6	4	10
9	Farnham	6	3	0	3	8	8	9
10	Horsham	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
11	Dover	6	2	2	2	13	13	8
12	Salisbury FC	5	2	1	2	8	4	7
13	Billericay Town	5	2	1	2	8	6	7
14	Chesham	6	2	1	3	10	9	7
15	Chelmsford	5	1	4	0	4	3	7
16	Hemel Hempstead	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
17	AFC Totton	5	2	1	2	3	8	7
18	Maidenhead Utd	6	1	3	2	3	5	6
19	Torquay	6	1	3	2	4	7	6
20	Braintree Town	5	1	1	3	7	13	4
21	Hampton & Richmond	6	1	1	4	7	18	4
22	Ebbsfleet United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Slough	5	0	0	5	6	14	0
24	Walton & Hersham	6	0	0	6	3	21	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Totton	Hampton & Richmond
Maidenhead Utd	1-1 D	1-2 L
Chippenham Town	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Totton

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
29/08	Chesham England National League South	0-3	0-4	6	4	L
18/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
15/08	Billericay Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
08/08	Farnham England National League South	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/04	Farnborough England National League South	1-3	1-6	5	5	L
18/04	Eastbourne Borough England National League South	1-2	3-2	7	2	W
14/04	Bath City England National League South	2-1	2-1	9	5	W
11/04	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	0-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/04	Chippenham Town England National League South	0-1	0-2	5	9	L

Hampton & Richmond

LDLWLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
29/08	Torquay England National League South	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
22/08	Slough England National League South	1-0	5-3	5	2	W
18/08	Horsham England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
15/08	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
08/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	0-5	9	4	L
25/04	Enfield Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
18/04	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
11/04	Chippenham Town England National League South	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
06/04	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Totton vs Hampton & Richmond?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Totton win (47%). Probabilities: AFC Totton 47%, draw 26%, Hampton & Richmond 28%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Totton vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model expects 2.94 goals (AFC Totton 1.69 · Hampton & Richmond 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Totton vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.