Football · England National League South · 08/09, 20:45

Prediction: Hampton & Richmond vs Farnborough

Team pages: Hampton & Richmond · Farnborough

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Hampton & Richmond1.49

Farnborough1.8

1X2

31% 25% 44%

Hampton & Richmond Draw Farnborough

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hampton & Richmond 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLWDLL

Farnborough 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWDWL

Head-to-head

Hampton & Richmond 2–2–2 Farnborough (6 last)

Hampton & Richmond3-1Farnborough
Farnborough0-2Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond2-8Farnborough
Farnborough0-0Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond1-1Farnborough
Farnborough3-1Hampton & Richmond

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hampton & Richmond 1486 · Farnborough 1525

	Hampton & Richmond	Draw	Farnborough
Our model	31%	25%	44%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hampton & Richmond	Farnborough
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.7	1.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.2	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	3.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
18:15 +6’	2.90	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hampton & Richmond 2–2–2 Farnborough

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	3-1 HT 2-0	Farnborough
26/12/25 England National League South	Farnborough	0-2 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
21/04/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	2-8 HT 1-4	Farnborough
26/12/24 England National League South	Farnborough	0-0 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
24/02/24 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	1-1 HT 0-0	Farnborough
02/09/23 England National League South	Farnborough	3-1 HT 1-0	Hampton & Richmond

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	7	5	1	1	15	7	16
2	Dag & Red	7	5	1	1	9	5	16
3	Tonbridge Angels	7	4	1	2	17	7	13
4	Truro City	6	4	1	1	10	2	13
5	Folkestone Invicta	6	3	2	1	13	6	11
6	Weston Super Mare	7	3	2	2	12	6	11
7	Dorking Wanderers	7	3	2	2	13	8	11
8	Farnham	7	3	1	3	9	9	10
9	AFC Totton	6	3	1	2	7	9	10
10	Farnborough	6	3	1	2	6	8	10
11	Horsham	6	2	3	1	7	5	9
12	Maidenhead Utd	7	2	3	2	6	5	9
13	Torquay	7	2	3	2	7	9	9
14	Salisbury FC	6	2	2	2	9	5	8
15	Billericay Town	6	2	2	2	11	9	8
16	Chelmsford	6	1	5	0	5	4	8
17	Hemel Hempstead	7	2	2	3	7	9	8
18	Dover	7	2	2	3	13	16	8
19	Chesham	7	2	1	4	11	12	7
20	Braintree Town	6	2	1	3	9	14	7
21	Hampton & Richmond	7	1	1	5	8	22	4
22	Ebbsfleet United	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
23	Slough	6	0	0	6	7	16	0
24	Walton & Hersham	7	0	0	7	3	23	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hampton & Richmond	Farnborough
AFC Totton	1-4 L	6-1 W
Maidstone Utd	1-4 L	2-1 W
Horsham	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Farnborough (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hampton & Richmond

DLWLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-3	1-4	1	7	L
31/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
29/08	Torquay England National League South	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
22/08	Slough England National League South	1-0	5-3	5	2	W
18/08	Horsham England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
15/08	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
08/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	0-5	9	4	L
25/04	Enfield Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
18/04	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
11/04	Chippenham Town England National League South	0-1	1-1	8	3	D

Farnborough

WWLWWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-2	0-4	10	3	L
31/08	Braintree Town England National League South	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
22/08	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
19/08	Chesham England National League South	0-0	1-0	9	0	W
15/08	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-2	0-2	11	2	L
08/08	Maidstone Utd England National League South	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
25/04	AFC Totton England National League South	3-1	6-1	9	5	W
18/04	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	1-3	1-6	4	2	L
11/04	Dover England National League South	2-1	3-1	2	5	W
06/04	Horsham England National League South	0-0	2-0	2	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hampton & Richmond vs Farnborough?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Farnborough win (44%). Probabilities: Hampton & Richmond 31%, draw 25%, Farnborough 44%.

How many goals are expected in Hampton & Richmond vs Farnborough?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Hampton & Richmond 1.49 · Farnborough 1.8), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hampton & Richmond vs Farnborough?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.