Football · England National League South · 08/09, 20:45
Prediction: Salisbury FC vs Slough
Team pages: Salisbury FC · Slough
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.77Total
Salisbury FC2.39
Slough1.38
1X2
Salisbury FC
Draw
Slough
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Salisbury FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Slough
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salisbury FC
2–3–1
Slough
(6 last)
- Slough3-3Salisbury FC
- Salisbury FC2-1Slough
- Slough1-1Salisbury FC
- Salisbury FC1-0Slough
- Slough3-0Salisbury FC
- Salisbury FC0-0Slough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salisbury FC 1513 · Slough 1392
| Salisbury FC | Draw | Slough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| Market | 59% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salisbury FC (rating 1513 vs 1392).
- H2H favours Salisbury FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salisbury FC | Slough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 1.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salisbury FC 2–3–1 Slough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England National League South | Slough | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Salisbury FC |
| 18/10/25 England National League South | Salisbury FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Slough |
| 14/12/24 England National League South | Slough | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Salisbury FC |
| 17/08/24 England National League South | Salisbury FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Slough |
| 03/10/23 England FA Cup Qualification | Slough | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Salisbury FC |
| 30/09/23 England FA Cup Qualification | Salisbury FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Slough |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Dag & Red | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Truro City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Folkestone Invicta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Weston Super Mare | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dorking Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Farnham | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | AFC Totton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Farnborough | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Horsham | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Maidenhead Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 13 | Torquay | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 14 | Salisbury FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | Billericay Town | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 8 |
| 16 | Chelmsford | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 17 | Hemel Hempstead | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dover | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 8 |
| 19 | Chesham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 20 | Braintree Town | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 4 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | Slough | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salisbury FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Chelmsford England National League South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Billericay Town England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Maidstone Utd England National League South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Hemel Hempstead England National League South |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Horsham England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Hampton & Richmond England National League South |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Hemel Hempstead England National League South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Horsham England National League South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Tonbridge Angels England National League South |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Weston Super Mare England National League South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Slough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Braintree Town England National League South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/08 | Dag & Red England National League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Folkestone Invicta England National League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Hampton & Richmond England National League South |
0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/08 | Farnham England National League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Dover England National League South |
0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Dag & Red England National League South |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Enfield Town England National League South |
1-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Torquay England National League South |
0-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Chesham England National League South |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salisbury FC vs Slough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Salisbury FC win (59%). Probabilities: Salisbury FC 59%, draw 21%, Slough 20%.
How many goals are expected in Salisbury FC vs Slough?
The model expects 3.77 goals (Salisbury FC 2.39 · Slough 1.38), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Salisbury FC vs Slough?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.