Football · England National League South · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Braintree Town vs Chesham
Team pages: Braintree Town · Chesham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Braintree Town1.75
Chesham1.4
1X2
Braintree Town
Draw
Chesham
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Braintree Town
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Chesham
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Braintree Town
0–2–0
Chesham
(2 last)
- Chesham1-1Braintree Town
- Braintree Town0-0Chesham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braintree Town 1425 · Chesham 1538
| Braintree Town | Draw | Chesham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chesham (rating 1425 vs 1538).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Braintree Town | Chesham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.5 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 0.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Braintree Town 0–2–0 Chesham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/23 England FA Cup Qualification | Chesham | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Braintree Town |
| 14/10/23 England FA Cup Qualification | Braintree Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chesham |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salisbury FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Weston Super Mare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Truro City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AFC Totton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Dag & Red | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hemel Hempstead | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Horsham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Torquay | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Slough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Maidstone Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Farnham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Dover | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Maidenhead Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Chesham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Walton & Hersham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Braintree Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braintree Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Tonbridge Angels England National League South |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Felixstowe & Walton Utd Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Aveley UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Welling Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Brightlingsea Regent Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Rochdale England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Chesham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Weston Super Mare England National League South |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Oxford City Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Chertsey Town UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Wingate & Finchley Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Basingstoke UK Friendlies |
4-2 | 6-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Harborough Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Berkhamsted Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Hadley Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Dover England National League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Chelmsford England National League South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braintree Town vs Chesham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Braintree Town win (45%). Probabilities: Braintree Town 45%, draw 25%, Chesham 30%.
How many goals are expected in Braintree Town vs Chesham?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Braintree Town 1.75 · Chesham 1.4), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Braintree Town vs Chesham?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.