Football · England National League South · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond
Team pages: Horsham · Hampton & Richmond
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Horsham1.52
Hampton & Richmond1.03
1X2
Horsham
Draw
Hampton & Richmond
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Horsham
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Hampton & Richmond
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Horsham
0–1–1
Hampton & Richmond
(2 last)
- Hampton & Richmond2-0Horsham
- Horsham0-0Hampton & Richmond
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Horsham 1495 · Hampton & Richmond 1549
| Horsham | Draw | Hampton & Richmond | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hampton & Richmond (rating 1495 vs 1549).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Horsham | Hampton & Richmond | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.6 | 2.2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Horsham 0–1–1 Hampton & Richmond
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England National League South | Hampton & Richmond | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Horsham |
| 11/11/25 England National League South | Horsham | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hampton & Richmond |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weston Super Mare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Dag & Red | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | AFC Totton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Salisbury FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Truro City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Torquay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Maidstone Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Billericay Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dover | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Farnborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Braintree Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Horsham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Maidenhead Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Slough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 | Farnham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Horsham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Salisbury FC England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Torquay England National League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Worthing UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Worthing Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Crystal Palace U23 Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Dulwich Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Eastbourne Town UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Eastleigh UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Chippenham Town England National League South |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
Hampton & Richmond
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Weston Super Mare England National League South |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Salisbury FC England National League South |
0-1 | 0-5 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Raynes Park UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Basingstoke Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | QPR U23 Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Chertsey Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/07 | Cobham Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Dunston UTS Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Carshalton Ath UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Hanworth Villa Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Horsham win (48%). Probabilities: Horsham 48%, draw 27%, Hampton & Richmond 25%.
How many goals are expected in Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Horsham 1.52 · Hampton & Richmond 1.03), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Horsham vs Hampton & Richmond?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.