Football · England National League South · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Torquay vs Hampton & Richmond

Team pages: Torquay · Hampton & Richmond

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Torquay2.3

Hampton & Richmond1.12

1X2

63% 21% 16%

Torquay Draw Hampton & Richmond

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Torquay 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDDWDL

Hampton & Richmond 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Torquay 3–1–2 Hampton & Richmond (6 last)

Torquay4-1Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond2-2Torquay
Torquay0-1Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond0-1Torquay
Torquay1-0Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond3-1Torquay

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torquay 1568 · Hampton & Richmond 1497

	Torquay	Draw	Hampton & Richmond
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	62%	22%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torquay (rating 1568 vs 1497).
H2H favours Torquay: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Torquay	Hampton & Richmond
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	1.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	2.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.10

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
14:40 +5’	1.44	4.10	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Torquay 3–1–2 Hampton & Richmond

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/01/26 England National League South	Torquay	4-1 HT 1-1	Hampton & Richmond
02/09/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	2-2 HT 1-2	Torquay
25/01/25 England National League South	Torquay	0-1 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
05/10/24 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	0-1 HT 0-1	Torquay
23/03/24 England National League South	Torquay	1-0 HT 1-0	Hampton & Richmond
28/10/23 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	3-1 HT 2-0	Torquay

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dag & Red	4	4	0	0	7	1	12
2	Horsham	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
3	Weston Super Mare	4	2	1	1	8	3	7
4	Truro City	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
5	Maidstone Utd	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
6	Hemel Hempstead	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
7	Farnborough	4	2	1	1	4	4	7
8	Billericay Town	3	2	0	1	6	3	6
9	Tonbridge Angels	4	2	0	2	6	4	6
10	Dover	4	2	0	2	8	8	6
11	AFC Totton	3	2	0	1	2	3	6
12	Folkestone Invicta	3	1	2	0	7	3	5
13	Torquay	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
14	Maidenhead Utd	4	1	2	1	2	3	5
15	Salisbury FC	3	1	1	1	6	2	4
16	Dorking Wanderers	4	1	1	2	5	4	4
17	Chelmsford	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
18	Chesham	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
18	Farnham	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
20	Braintree Town	3	1	0	2	4	8	3
21	Hampton & Richmond	4	1	0	3	5	13	3
22	Ebbsfleet United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Slough	3	0	0	3	6	11	0
24	Walton & Hersham	4	0	0	4	1	12	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Torquay	Hampton & Richmond
Dag & Red	0-2 L	1-3 L
Weston Super Mare	0-0 D	0-3 L
Horsham	1-1 D	0-2 L
Slough	5-1 W	5-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Torquay (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torquay

WWLWWDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Dag & Red England National League South	0-1	0-2	3	6	L
18/08	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
15/08	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	1-0	2-1	2	9	W
08/08	Horsham England National League South	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
09/05	AFC Hornchurch England National League South	1-1	2-2	7	2	D
02/05	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	2-0	4-2	7	7	W
25/04	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	0-0	2-1	1	3	W
18/04	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
11/04	Slough England National League South	4-0	5-1	4	3	W
06/04	Bath City England National League South	2-1	4-1	4	3	W

Hampton & Richmond

LWLDLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Slough England National League South	1-0	5-3	5	2	W
18/08	Horsham England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
15/08	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
08/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	0-5	9	4	L
25/04	Enfield Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
18/04	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
11/04	Chippenham Town England National League South	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
06/04	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
03/04	Farnborough England National League South	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
28/03	Dag & Red England National League South	0-3	1-3	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torquay vs Hampton & Richmond?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Torquay win (63%). Probabilities: Torquay 63%, draw 21%, Hampton & Richmond 16%.

How many goals are expected in Torquay vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Torquay 2.3 · Hampton & Richmond 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Torquay vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.