Football · England National League South · 31/08, 16:00

Prediction: Hampton & Richmond vs Maidstone Utd

Team pages: Hampton & Richmond · Maidstone Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Hampton & Richmond1.26

Maidstone Utd1.84

1X2

25% 25% 50%

Hampton & Richmond Draw Maidstone Utd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hampton & Richmond 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Maidstone Utd 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLWDWW

Head-to-head

Hampton & Richmond 0–2–4 Maidstone Utd (6 last)

Hampton & Richmond0-0Maidstone Utd
Maidstone Utd2-0Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond0-3Maidstone Utd
Maidstone Utd2-1Hampton & Richmond
Maidstone Utd0-0Hampton & Richmond
Maidstone Utd5-1Hampton & Richmond

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hampton & Richmond 1500 · Maidstone Utd 1626

	Hampton & Richmond	Draw	Maidstone Utd
Our model	25%	25%	50%
Market	25%	26%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maidstone Utd (rating 1500 vs 1626).
H2H favours Maidstone Utd: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hampton & Richmond	Maidstone Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.2	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	3 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.50

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
X	3.25 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.91 ★
2	1.91 → 1.80▼	Pinn 1.88

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:45 +8’	3.40	3.25	1.91
02:20 +3’	3.60▲	3.50▲	1.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:49 +4’	3.42	3.91	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hampton & Richmond 0–2–4 Maidstone Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	0-0 HT 0-0	Maidstone Utd
19/08/25 England National League South	Maidstone Utd	2-0 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
22/03/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	0-3 HT 0-2	Maidstone Utd
14/09/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Maidstone Utd	2-1 HT 1-1	Hampton & Richmond
20/08/24 England National League South	Maidstone Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	Hampton & Richmond
20/04/24 England National League South	Maidstone Utd	5-1 HT 2-1	Hampton & Richmond

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dag & Red	5	4	0	1	7	4	12
2	Weston Super Mare	5	3	1	1	11	4	10
3	Truro City	4	3	1	0	7	0	10
4	Maidstone Utd	5	3	1	1	10	6	10
5	Folkestone Invicta	4	2	2	0	9	3	8
6	Horsham	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
7	Dorking Wanderers	5	2	1	2	9	5	7
8	Billericay Town	4	2	1	1	8	5	7
9	Tonbridge Angels	5	2	1	2	8	6	7
10	Dover	5	2	1	2	11	11	7
11	Hemel Hempstead	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
12	Farnborough	4	2	1	1	4	4	7
13	Chesham	5	2	0	3	8	7	6
14	Chelmsford	4	1	3	0	3	2	6
15	Torquay	5	1	3	1	4	5	6
16	Farnham	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
17	AFC Totton	4	2	0	2	2	7	6
18	Maidenhead Utd	5	1	2	2	2	4	5
19	Salisbury FC	4	1	1	2	7	4	4
20	Braintree Town	4	1	1	2	7	11	4
21	Hampton & Richmond	5	1	1	3	6	14	4
22	Ebbsfleet United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Slough	4	0	0	4	6	13	0
24	Walton & Hersham	5	0	0	5	2	16	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hampton & Richmond	Maidstone Utd
Horsham	0-2 L	0-0 D
Salisbury FC	0-5 L	2-1 W
Farnborough	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Maidstone Utd (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hampton & Richmond

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Torquay England National League South	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
22/08	Slough England National League South	1-0	5-3	5	2	W
18/08	Horsham England National League South	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
15/08	Weston Super Mare England National League South	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
08/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-1	0-5	9	4	L
25/04	Enfield Town England National League South	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
18/04	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
11/04	Chippenham Town England National League South	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
06/04	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
03/04	Farnborough England National League South	2-0	3-1	4	3	W

Maidstone Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
22/08	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-1	3-2	7	3	W
18/08	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
15/08	Walton & Hersham England National League South	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
08/08	Farnborough England National League South	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
25/04	Bath City England National League South	0-2	3-2	12	2	W
18/04	Worthing England National League South	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
11/04	Horsham England National League South	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
06/04	AFC Hornchurch England National League South	4-4	5-4	3	2	W
03/04	Dover England National League South	1-0	2-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hampton & Richmond vs Maidstone Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maidstone Utd win (50%). Probabilities: Hampton & Richmond 25%, draw 25%, Maidstone Utd 50%.

How many goals are expected in Hampton & Richmond vs Maidstone Utd?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Hampton & Richmond 1.26 · Maidstone Utd 1.84), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hampton & Richmond vs Maidstone Utd?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.