Football · England National League South · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Dover vs Slough
Team pages: Dover
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Dover1.72
Slough1.52
1X2
Dover
Draw
Slough
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dover
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Slough
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dover
4–2–0
Slough
(6 last)
- Slough1-1Dover
- Dover2-0Slough
- Dover1-0Slough
- Slough1-2Dover
- Slough1-1Dover
- Dover3-0Slough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dover 1523 · Slough 1461
| Dover | Draw | Slough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dover (rating 1523 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Dover: 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dover | Slough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.6 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dover 4–2–0 Slough
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England National League South | Slough | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dover |
| 29/11/25 England National League South | Dover | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Slough |
| 27/01/24 England National League South | Dover | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Slough |
| 12/08/23 England National League South | Slough | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Dover |
| 04/02/23 England National League South | Slough | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Dover |
| 15/10/22 England National League South | Dover | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Slough |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salisbury FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Weston Super Mare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Truro City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AFC Totton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Dag & Red | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hemel Hempstead | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Horsham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Torquay | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Slough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Maidstone Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Farnham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Dover | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Maidenhead Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Chesham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Walton & Hersham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Braintree Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dover
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Billericay Town England National League South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Carshalton Ath UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 28/07 | Herne Bay Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Burgess Hill Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Deal Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Littlehampton Town Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Gillingham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Cray Wanderers Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Margate Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Chesham England National League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
Slough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Wealdstone UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/07 | Oxford City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Uxbridge Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Fleet Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Basingstoke UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Chatham Town UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Dag & Red England National League South |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Enfield Town England National League South |
1-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Torquay England National League South |
0-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Chesham England National League South |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dover vs Slough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dover win (42%). Probabilities: Dover 42%, draw 25%, Slough 33%.
How many goals are expected in Dover vs Slough?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Dover 1.72 · Slough 1.52), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Dover vs Slough?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.