Football · England National League South · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay
Team pages: Tonbridge Angels · Torquay
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Tonbridge Angels1.45
Torquay1.68
1X2
Tonbridge Angels
Draw
Torquay
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tonbridge Angels
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Torquay
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tonbridge Angels
2–1–3
Torquay
(6 last)
- Tonbridge Angels1-2Torquay
- Torquay1-2Tonbridge Angels
- Tonbridge Angels0-1Torquay
- Torquay0-0Tonbridge Angels
- Tonbridge Angels4-1Torquay
- Torquay2-1Tonbridge Angels
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tonbridge Angels 1544 · Torquay 1585
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Torquay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torquay (rating 1544 vs 1585).
- H2H favours Torquay: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tonbridge Angels | Torquay | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 2.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.6 | 2.7 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tonbridge Angels 2–1–3 Torquay
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England National League South | Tonbridge Angels | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Torquay |
| 06/12/25 England National League South | Torquay | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Tonbridge Angels |
| 08/03/25 England National League South | Tonbridge Angels | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Torquay |
| 09/11/24 England National League South | Torquay | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tonbridge Angels |
| 16/03/24 England National League South | Tonbridge Angels | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Torquay |
| 02/12/23 England National League South | Torquay | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tonbridge Angels |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salisbury FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Weston Super Mare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Truro City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AFC Totton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Dag & Red | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hemel Hempstead | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Horsham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Torquay | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Slough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Maidstone Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Farnham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Dover | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Maidenhead Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Chesham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Walton & Hersham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Braintree Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tonbridge Angels
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Braintree Town England National League South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Wingate & Finchley Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Eastbourne Borough UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Sittingbourne UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Cray Wanderers Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Biggleswade FC UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Torquay England National League South |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Farnborough England National League South |
3-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Salisbury FC England National League South |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
Torquay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Horsham England National League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Exeter UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Cardiff U23 Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Plymouth UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Weston Super Mare UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Plymouth Parkway UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Brixham Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Cullompton Rangers Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Buckland Athletic Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | AFC Hornchurch England National League South |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Torquay win (42%). Probabilities: Tonbridge Angels 32%, draw 26%, Torquay 42%.
How many goals are expected in Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Tonbridge Angels 1.45 · Torquay 1.68), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.