Football · England National League South · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta
Team pages: Maidstone Utd · Folkestone Invicta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Maidstone Utd1.82
Folkestone Invicta1.58
1X2
Maidstone Utd
Draw
Folkestone Invicta
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maidstone Utd
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Folkestone Invicta
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maidstone Utd
2–1–1
Folkestone Invicta
(4 last)
- Folkestone Invicta2-0Maidstone Utd
- Folkestone Invicta0-1Maidstone Utd
- Folkestone Invicta1-1Maidstone Utd
- Folkestone Invicta0-5Maidstone Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maidstone Utd 1610 · Folkestone Invicta 1515
| Maidstone Utd | Draw | Folkestone Invicta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maidstone Utd (rating 1610 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Maidstone Utd: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maidstone Utd | Folkestone Invicta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 0.8 | 2.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 67/22/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 6.5 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maidstone Utd 2–1–1 Folkestone Invicta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/25 England FA Cup Qualification | Folkestone Invicta | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Maidstone Utd |
| 30/07/24 Club Friendly List | Folkestone Invicta | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Maidstone Utd |
| 09/07/19 Club Friendly List | Folkestone Invicta | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Maidstone Utd |
| 09/07/18 Club Friendly List | Folkestone Invicta | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Maidstone Utd |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weston Super Mare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Dag & Red | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | AFC Totton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Salisbury FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Truro City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Torquay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Maidstone Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Billericay Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dover | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Farnborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Braintree Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Horsham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Maidenhead Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Slough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 | Farnham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maidstone Utd | Folkestone Invicta |
|---|---|---|
| Walton & Hersham | 3-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Welling | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maidstone Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Walton & Hersham England National League South |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Farnborough England National League South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Chatham Town UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Brentwood Town UK Friendlies |
4-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Ashford Utd UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Ramsgate UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Welling UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | Bearsted FC Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Whitstable Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Bath City England National League South |
0-2 | 3-2 | 12 | 2 | W |
Folkestone Invicta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Walton & Hersham England National League South |
3-0 | 5-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Welling Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Sholing Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Charlton XI Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Cray Wanderers Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Dartford Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/07 | Aveley Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Croydon Athletic Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Sutton Common Rovers Club Friendly List |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maidstone Utd win (42%). Probabilities: Maidstone Utd 42%, draw 25%, Folkestone Invicta 32%.
How many goals are expected in Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Maidstone Utd 1.82 · Folkestone Invicta 1.58), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.