Football · England National League South · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: Slough vs Farnham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Slough1.53
Farnham1.83
1X2
Slough
Draw
Farnham
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Slough
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Farnham
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slough 1467 · Farnham 1501
| Slough | Draw | Farnham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 24% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slough | Farnham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.7 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weston Super Mare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Dag & Red | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | AFC Totton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Salisbury FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Truro City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Torquay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Maidstone Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Billericay Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dover | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Farnborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Braintree Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Horsham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Maidenhead Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Slough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 | Farnham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Dover England National League South |
0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Wealdstone UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/07 | Oxford City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Uxbridge Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Fleet Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Basingstoke UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Chatham Town UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Dag & Red England National League South |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Enfield Town England National League South |
1-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Torquay England National League South |
0-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
Farnham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Dag & Red England National League South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | AFC Totton England National League South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Eastleigh UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/07 | Yeovil UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Rochdale UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | Wycombe Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Cobham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Badshot Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Ashford Town (Middx) UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slough vs Farnham?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Farnham win (44%). Probabilities: Slough 31%, draw 25%, Farnham 44%.
How many goals are expected in Slough vs Farnham?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Slough 1.53 · Farnham 1.83), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Slough vs Farnham?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.