Football · England National League South · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red
Team pages: Walton & Hersham · Dag & Red
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Walton & Hersham1.2
Dag & Red2.04
1X2
Walton & Hersham
Draw
Dag & Red
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Walton & Hersham
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Dag & Red
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Walton & Hersham
0–1
Dag & Red
(1 last)
- Walton & Hersham0-1Dag & Red
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Walton & Hersham 1469 · Dag & Red 1541
| Walton & Hersham | Draw | Dag & Red | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 24% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dag & Red (rating 1469 vs 1541).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Walton & Hersham | Dag & Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/22/56% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.9 | 2.5 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Walton & Hersham 0–0–1 Dag & Red
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/25 UK Friendlies | Walton & Hersham | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dag & Red |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weston Super Mare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Dag & Red | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | AFC Totton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Salisbury FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Truro City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Torquay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Maidstone Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Billericay Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dover | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Farnborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Braintree Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Horsham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Maidenhead Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Slough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 | Farnham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Walton & Hersham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Maidstone Utd England National League South |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Folkestone Invicta England National League South |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Leatherhead Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Oxford City UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Bedford Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Tamworth UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Bracknell Town UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 6-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Dag & Red
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Farnham England National League South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Dorking Wanderers England National League South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | South Shields Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Boreham Wood UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Crystal Palace U21 UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Hashtag United UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Hitchin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Newmarket Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | AFC Hornchurch UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Slough England National League South |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dag & Red win (55%). Probabilities: Walton & Hersham 21%, draw 24%, Dag & Red 55%.
How many goals are expected in Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Walton & Hersham 1.2 · Dag & Red 2.04), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Walton & Hersham vs Dag & Red?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.