Football · England National League South · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead
Team pages: Farnborough · Hemel Hempstead
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Farnborough1.47
Hemel Hempstead1.69
1X2
Farnborough
Draw
Hemel Hempstead
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Farnborough
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Hemel Hempstead
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Farnborough
1–1–4
Hemel Hempstead
(6 last)
- Farnborough2-3Hemel Hempstead
- Hemel Hempstead1-0Farnborough
- Farnborough0-1Hemel Hempstead
- Hemel Hempstead3-3Farnborough
- Hemel Hempstead2-1Farnborough
- Farnborough2-1Hemel Hempstead
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Farnborough 1533 · Hemel Hempstead 1512
| Farnborough | Draw | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hemel Hempstead: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Farnborough | Hemel Hempstead | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 1.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Farnborough 1–1–4 Hemel Hempstead
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England National League South | Farnborough | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Hemel Hempstead |
| 20/09/25 England National League South | Hemel Hempstead | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Farnborough |
| 18/01/25 England National League South | Farnborough | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hemel Hempstead |
| 21/09/24 England National League South | Hemel Hempstead | 3-3 HT 3-2 | Farnborough |
| 23/01/24 England National League South | Hemel Hempstead | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Farnborough |
| 15/08/23 England National League South | Farnborough | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Hemel Hempstead |
Standings · England National League South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salisbury FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Weston Super Mare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Truro City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AFC Totton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Dag & Red | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hemel Hempstead | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Horsham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Torquay | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Slough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Maidstone Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Farnham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Dover | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Maidenhead Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Chesham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Walton & Hersham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Braintree Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Farnborough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Maidstone Utd England National League South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Bath City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Carshalton Ath Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Reading UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Ashford Town (Middx) UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Cobham Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | AFC Totton England National League South |
3-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Tonbridge Angels England National League South |
1-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
Hemel Hempstead
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Chelmsford England National League South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | St Albans UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Kettering Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Hendon Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Wealdstone UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Oxford City Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Barnet Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | QPR U23 Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 28/04 | Weston Super Mare England National League South |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Salisbury FC England National League South |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hemel Hempstead win (42%). Probabilities: Farnborough 32%, draw 26%, Hemel Hempstead 42%.
How many goals are expected in Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Farnborough 1.47 · Hemel Hempstead 1.69), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.