Football · England National League South · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers
Team pages: AFC Totton · Dorking Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
AFC Totton1.35
Dorking Wanderers1.78
1X2
AFC Totton
Draw
Dorking Wanderers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Totton
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Dorking Wanderers
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Totton
1–1
Dorking Wanderers
(2 last)
- AFC Totton2-1Dorking Wanderers
- Dorking Wanderers2-1AFC Totton
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Totton 1541 · Dorking Wanderers 1465
| AFC Totton | Draw | Dorking Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 25% | 47% |
| Market | 29% | 24% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Totton (rating 1541 vs 1465).
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Totton | Dorking Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.8 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Totton 1–0–1 Dorking Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England National League South | AFC Totton | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Dorking Wanderers |
| 06/09/25 England National League South | Dorking Wanderers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | AFC Totton |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weston Super Mare | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Dag & Red | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | AFC Totton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Salisbury FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Truro City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Torquay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Maidstone Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Billericay Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Dover | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Farnborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Braintree Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Horsham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Maidenhead Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Slough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 | Farnham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Chesham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Totton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Billericay Town England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Farnham England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Sholing Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Southampton XI Club Friendly List |
1-3 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Moneyfields Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Sholing Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Farnborough England National League South |
1-3 | 1-6 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Eastbourne Borough England National League South |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 14/04 | Bath City England National League South |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Dorking Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Maidenhead Utd England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Dag & Red England National League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 04/08 | Bracknell Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Dulwich UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Lewes UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Chatham Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Jersey Bulls Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Leatherhead UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Bognor Regis Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Torquay England National League South |
0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dorking Wanderers win (47%). Probabilities: AFC Totton 29%, draw 24%, Dorking Wanderers 47%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers?
The model expects 3.12 goals (AFC Totton 1.35 · Dorking Wanderers 1.78), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.