Football · England National League South · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Maidenhead Utd vs Dorking Wanderers
Team pages: Maidenhead Utd · Dorking Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Maidenhead Utd1.28
Dorking Wanderers1.13
1X2
Maidenhead Utd
Draw
Dorking Wanderers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maidenhead Utd
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Dorking Wanderers
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maidenhead Utd
3–3
Dorking Wanderers
(6 last)
- Dorking Wanderers2-0Maidenhead Utd
- Maidenhead Utd2-0Dorking Wanderers
- Dorking Wanderers1-0Maidenhead Utd
- Maidenhead Utd4-2Dorking Wanderers
- Dorking Wanderers3-0Maidenhead Utd
- Dorking Wanderers0-2Maidenhead Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maidenhead Utd 1449 · Dorking Wanderers 1456
| Maidenhead Utd | Draw | Dorking Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maidenhead Utd | Dorking Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 3.2 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maidenhead Utd 3–0–3 Dorking Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 England National League South | Dorking Wanderers | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Maidenhead Utd |
| 21/03/26 England National League South | Maidenhead Utd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dorking Wanderers |
| 28/10/25 England National League South | Dorking Wanderers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Maidenhead Utd |
| 09/03/24 England National League | Maidenhead Utd | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Dorking Wanderers |
| 09/12/23 England FA Trophy | Dorking Wanderers | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Maidenhead Utd |
| 12/08/23 England National League | Dorking Wanderers | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Maidenhead Utd |
Standings · England National League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salisbury FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Folkestone Invicta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tonbridge Angels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Weston Super Mare | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Billericay Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Truro City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AFC Totton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Dag & Red | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hemel Hempstead | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Horsham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Torquay | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Ebbsfleet United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Slough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Maidstone Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Dorking Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Farnham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Dover | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Maidenhead Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Chesham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | Walton & Hersham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Braintree Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 | Hampton & Richmond | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maidenhead Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Truro City England National League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Brackley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Wimborne Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/07 | Wolverhampton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Southampton U23 Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Holyport Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Milton Keynes Dons UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/04 | Dorking Wanderers England National League South |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Hornchurch England National League South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Dover England National League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Dorking Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Dag & Red England National League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 04/08 | Bracknell Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Dulwich UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Lewes UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Chatham Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Jersey Bulls Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Leatherhead UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Bognor Regis Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Torquay England National League South |
0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 29/04 | Maidenhead Utd England National League South |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maidenhead Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maidenhead Utd win (40%). Probabilities: Maidenhead Utd 40%, draw 28%, Dorking Wanderers 32%.
How many goals are expected in Maidenhead Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Maidenhead Utd 1.28 · Dorking Wanderers 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maidenhead Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.