Football · England National League · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Aldershot vs Hartlepool
Team pages: Aldershot · Hartlepool
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Aldershot1.07
Hartlepool1.62
1X2
Aldershot
Draw
Hartlepool
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aldershot
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Hartlepool
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aldershot
4–2
Hartlepool
(6 last)
- Hartlepool0-3Aldershot
- Aldershot1-0Hartlepool
- Aldershot3-2Hartlepool
- Hartlepool2-0Aldershot
- Hartlepool2-0Aldershot
- Aldershot2-1Hartlepool
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aldershot 1523 · Hartlepool 1536
| Aldershot | Draw | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 27% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aldershot: 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aldershot | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aldershot 4–0–2 Hartlepool
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 England National League | Hartlepool | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Aldershot |
| 20/09/25 England National League | Aldershot | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hartlepool |
| 22/02/25 England National League | Aldershot | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Hartlepool |
| 26/10/24 England National League | Hartlepool | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Aldershot |
| 06/04/24 England National League | Hartlepool | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Aldershot |
| 21/10/23 England National League | Aldershot | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Hartlepool |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Southend | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Worthing | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | AFC Fylde | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Yeovil | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Halifax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Altrincham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Kidderminster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aldershot | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Utd | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Southend | 0-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aldershot
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Braintree Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Hanwell Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Oxford Utd UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Farnborough UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | Bedford Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Truro City England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Brackley England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Southend England National League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Hartlepool
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Barrow England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Fleetwood Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Grimsby UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Hebburn Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Spennymoor Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Redcar Athletic UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Southend England National League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Forest Green England National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aldershot vs Hartlepool?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hartlepool win (50%). Probabilities: Aldershot 24%, draw 26%, Hartlepool 50%.
How many goals are expected in Aldershot vs Hartlepool?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Aldershot 1.07 · Hartlepool 1.62), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aldershot vs Hartlepool?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.