Prediction: Worthing vs Wealdstone
Team pages: Worthing · Wealdstone
| Worthing | Draw | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Worthing (rating 1550 vs 1502).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Worthing | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 3.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0 |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Southend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Gateshead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Worthing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Aldershot | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Kidderminster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Yeovil | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Tamworth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Halifax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Worthing
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Forest Green England National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Carlisle England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Horsham UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Horsham Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Enfield Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | QPR U21 UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Frome Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Ebbsfleet United England National League South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Maidstone Utd England National League South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Dag & Red England National League South |
2-1 | 7-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
Wealdstone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Harrogate Town England National League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Slough UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | AFC Wimbledon UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Milton Keynes Dons UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Chertsey Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Hemel Hempstead UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | QPR U23 Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Southend England FA Trophy |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Southend England National League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Worthing vs Wealdstone?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Worthing win (49%). Probabilities: Worthing 49%, draw 26%, Wealdstone 25%.
How many goals are expected in Worthing vs Wealdstone?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Worthing 1.65 · Wealdstone 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Worthing vs Wealdstone?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.