Football · England National League · 22/08, 13:30
Prediction: Solihull Moors vs Southend
Team pages: Solihull Moors · Southend
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Solihull Moors1.1
Southend1.7
1X2
Solihull Moors
Draw
Southend
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Solihull Moors
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Southend
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Solihull Moors
1–1–4
Southend
(6 last)
- Southend0-0Solihull Moors
- Solihull Moors1-2Southend
- Southend0-1Solihull Moors
- Solihull Moors2-4Southend
- Solihull Moors0-3Southend
- Southend5-0Solihull Moors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Solihull Moors 1454 · Southend 1516
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Southend | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Southend (rating 1454 vs 1516).
- H2H favours Southend: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Solihull Moors | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Solihull Moors 1–1–4 Southend
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England National League | Southend | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Solihull Moors |
| 30/08/25 England National League | Solihull Moors | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Southend |
| 12/04/25 England National League | Southend | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Solihull Moors |
| 21/09/24 England National League | Solihull Moors | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Southend |
| 26/03/24 England National League | Solihull Moors | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Southend |
| 21/10/23 England National League | Southend | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Solihull Moors |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Southend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Gateshead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Worthing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Aldershot | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Kidderminster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Yeovil | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Tamworth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Halifax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Solihull Moors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Northampton UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 28/07 | Burton Albion UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Hereford FC UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Hednesford Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | Birmingham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Alvechurch UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | Knowle FC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Yeovil England National League |
4-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Southend
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Altrincham England National League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Aveley UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Leyton Orient UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 22/07 | Northampton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | West Ham UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14/07 | Cambridge Utd Club Friendly List |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Wealdstone England FA Trophy |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 28/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Solihull Moors vs Southend?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Southend win (50%). Probabilities: Solihull Moors 24%, draw 26%, Southend 50%.
How many goals are expected in Solihull Moors vs Southend?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Solihull Moors 1.1 · Southend 1.7), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Solihull Moors vs Southend?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.