Football · England National League · 22/08, 13:30
Prediction: Halifax vs Tamworth
Team pages: Halifax · Tamworth
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Halifax1.88
Tamworth1.42
1X2
Halifax
Draw
Tamworth
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Halifax
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Tamworth
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Halifax
4–1–1
Tamworth
(6 last)
- Halifax2-2Tamworth
- Tamworth1-0Halifax
- Tamworth0-2Halifax
- Tamworth1-2Halifax
- Halifax3-2Tamworth
- Tamworth2-6Halifax
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Halifax 1520 · Tamworth 1498
| Halifax | Draw | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Halifax: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Halifax | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.6 | 2.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 3.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Halifax 4–1–1 Tamworth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 England National League | Halifax | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Tamworth |
| 27/01/26 England National League Cup | Tamworth | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Halifax |
| 30/12/25 England National League | Tamworth | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Halifax |
| 08/02/25 England National League | Tamworth | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Halifax |
| 05/10/24 England National League | Halifax | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Tamworth |
| 14/01/17 England National League North | Tamworth | 2-6 HT 0-4 | Halifax |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Southend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Gateshead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Worthing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Aldershot | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Kidderminster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Yeovil | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Tamworth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Halifax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Halifax
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Forest Green England National League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Curzon Ashton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Rochdale UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Spennymoor Town Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/07 | Gainsborough UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Avro FC UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Chesterfield UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Bradford UK Friendlies |
1-4 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Sheff Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
Tamworth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Boreham Wood England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | AFC Telford UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Halesowen UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | Aston Villa U21 UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Port Vale Club Friendly List |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Lichfield City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Braintree Town England National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Halifax vs Tamworth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Halifax win (47%). Probabilities: Halifax 47%, draw 25%, Tamworth 28%.
How many goals are expected in Halifax vs Tamworth?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Halifax 1.88 · Tamworth 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Halifax vs Tamworth?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.