Football · England National League · 22/08, 13:30
Prediction: Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe
Team pages: Eastleigh · Scunthorpe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Eastleigh1.09
Scunthorpe1.29
1X2
Eastleigh
Draw
Scunthorpe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Eastleigh
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Scunthorpe
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eastleigh
3–2–0
Scunthorpe
(5 last)
- Scunthorpe0-1Eastleigh
- Eastleigh1-1Scunthorpe
- Eastleigh1-1Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe0-1Eastleigh
- Eastleigh2-0Scunthorpe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eastleigh 1438 · Scunthorpe 1509
| Eastleigh | Draw | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scunthorpe (rating 1438 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Eastleigh: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastleigh | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastleigh 3–2–0 Scunthorpe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England National League | Scunthorpe | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Eastleigh |
| 21/10/25 England National League | Eastleigh | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 02/09/25 England National League | Eastleigh | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 04/03/23 England National League | Scunthorpe | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Eastleigh |
| 01/11/22 England National League | Eastleigh | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Southend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Gateshead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Worthing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Aldershot | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Kidderminster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Yeovil | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Tamworth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Halifax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eastleigh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Kidderminster England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Farnham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Crawley Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Valenciennes Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Southampton UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Poole Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Horsham UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
Scunthorpe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Southend England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | North Ferriby UK Friendlies |
4-1 | 6-3 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Buxton UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Appleby Frodingham FC Club Friendly List |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Rochdale England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Southend England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 11/04 | Brackley England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Scunthorpe win (41%). Probabilities: Eastleigh 31%, draw 28%, Scunthorpe 41%.
How many goals are expected in Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Eastleigh 1.09 · Scunthorpe 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.