Football · England National League · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Gateshead vs Woking
Team pages: Gateshead · Woking
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Gateshead1.41
Woking1.33
1X2
Gateshead
Draw
Woking
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gateshead
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Woking
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gateshead
2–4
Woking
(6 last)
- Gateshead0-3Woking
- Woking5-0Gateshead
- Gateshead4-0Woking
- Woking0-2Gateshead
- Woking3-2Gateshead
- Gateshead1-3Woking
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gateshead 1465 · Woking 1506
| Gateshead | Draw | Woking | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Woking (rating 1465 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Woking: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gateshead | Woking | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 2.4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gateshead 2–0–4 Woking
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 England National League | Gateshead | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Woking |
| 06/09/25 England National League | Woking | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Gateshead |
| 14/12/24 England National League | Gateshead | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Woking |
| 17/08/24 England National League | Woking | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Gateshead |
| 27/02/24 England National League | Woking | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Gateshead |
| 26/08/23 England National League | Gateshead | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Woking |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Southend | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Worthing | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | AFC Fylde | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Yeovil | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Halifax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Altrincham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Kidderminster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gateshead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Spennymoor Town Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | South Shields UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Newcastle Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14/07 | Hebburn Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Heaton Stannington UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | Blyth Town FC Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Woking England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Aldershot England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Woking
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Eastbourne Borough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Reading UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Sholing Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Morecambe England National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Braintree Town England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gateshead vs Woking?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gateshead win (38%). Probabilities: Gateshead 38%, draw 27%, Woking 34%.
How many goals are expected in Gateshead vs Woking?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Gateshead 1.41 · Woking 1.33), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gateshead vs Woking?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.