Football · England National League · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Sutton Utd vs Altrincham
Team pages: Sutton Utd · Altrincham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Sutton Utd1.62
Altrincham1.2
1X2
Sutton Utd
Draw
Altrincham
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sutton Utd
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Altrincham
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutton Utd
2–1–3
Altrincham
(6 last)
- Sutton Utd1-2Altrincham
- Altrincham2-1Sutton Utd
- Altrincham1-0Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd5-0Altrincham
- Altrincham0-4Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd2-2Altrincham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sutton Utd 1520 · Altrincham 1493
| Sutton Utd | Draw | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Altrincham: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutton Utd | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.4 | 0.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutton Utd 2–1–3 Altrincham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 England National League | Sutton Utd | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Altrincham |
| 06/09/25 England National League | Altrincham | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sutton Utd |
| 14/12/24 England National League | Altrincham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 17/08/24 England National League | Sutton Utd | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Altrincham |
| 17/04/21 England National League | Altrincham | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Sutton Utd |
| 09/01/21 England National League | Sutton Utd | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Altrincham |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Southend | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Worthing | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | AFC Fylde | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Yeovil | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Halifax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Altrincham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Kidderminster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Southampton U21 UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 28/07 | Folkestone Invicta UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Horsham UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | AFC Wimbledon UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Tonbridge Angels UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | AFC Totton UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Altrincham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Southend England National League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Man Utd U21 UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
2-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Chorley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Colwyn Bay UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Gateshead England National League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | York England National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutton Utd vs Altrincham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutton Utd win (46%). Probabilities: Sutton Utd 46%, draw 26%, Altrincham 27%.
How many goals are expected in Sutton Utd vs Altrincham?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Sutton Utd 1.62 · Altrincham 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutton Utd vs Altrincham?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.