Football · England National League · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Tamworth vs AFC Fylde
Team pages: Tamworth · AFC Fylde
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Tamworth1.78
AFC Fylde1.61
1X2
Tamworth
Draw
AFC Fylde
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tamworth
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
AFC Fylde
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tamworth
4–1–1
AFC Fylde
(6 last)
- Tamworth4-3AFC Fylde
- AFC Fylde1-2Tamworth
- AFC Fylde3-1Tamworth
- Tamworth1-0AFC Fylde
- Tamworth3-1AFC Fylde
- AFC Fylde2-2Tamworth
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tamworth 1516 · AFC Fylde 1504
| Tamworth | Draw | AFC Fylde | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tamworth: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tamworth | AFC Fylde | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 2.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/33/11% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 6.4 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tamworth 4–1–1 AFC Fylde
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/25 England National League | Tamworth | 4-3 HT 2-3 | AFC Fylde |
| 24/09/24 England National League | AFC Fylde | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Tamworth |
| 25/02/17 England National League North | AFC Fylde | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Tamworth |
| 29/10/16 England National League North | Tamworth | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AFC Fylde |
| 16/04/16 England National League North | Tamworth | 3-1 HT 1-0 | AFC Fylde |
| 12/09/15 England National League North | AFC Fylde | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Tamworth |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Southend | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Worthing | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | AFC Fylde | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Yeovil | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Halifax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Altrincham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Kidderminster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tamworth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Boreham Wood England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | AFC Telford UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Halesowen UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | Aston Villa U21 UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Port Vale Club Friendly List |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Walton & Hersham UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Lichfield City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Braintree Town England National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
AFC Fylde
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Warrington Rylands UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 28/07 | Morecambe UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Huddersfield UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Hyde Utd UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Blackpool UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Merthyr Town England National League North |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Southport England National League North |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Chester England National League North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
3-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tamworth vs AFC Fylde?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tamworth win (41%). Probabilities: Tamworth 41%, draw 25%, AFC Fylde 34%.
How many goals are expected in Tamworth vs AFC Fylde?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Tamworth 1.78 · AFC Fylde 1.61), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tamworth vs AFC Fylde?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.