Prediction: Wealdstone vs Harrogate Town

Team pages: Wealdstone · Harrogate Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Wealdstone1.09
Harrogate Town1.53
1X2
27% 26% 47%
Wealdstone Draw Harrogate Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wealdstone 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLDLWLWWWD
Harrogate Town 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
LWWLWWWDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wealdstone 1515 · Harrogate Town 1563
WealdstoneDrawHarrogate Town
Our model26%28%46%
Market28%25%48%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harrogate Town (rating 1515 vs 1563).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WealdstoneHarrogate Town
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.11.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.20.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 3.92.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.2 / 01.8 / 0

Standings · England National League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Harrogate Town 1100 523
2 AFC Hornchurch 1100 303
2 Sutton Utd 1100 303
4 Southend 1100 313
5 Hartlepool 1100 203
6 Forest Green 1100 323
6 Worthing 1100 323
8 Eastleigh 1100 213
9 Aldershot 1100 103
10 Boreham Wood 1010 331
10 Tamworth 1010 331
12 AFC Fylde 1010 221
12 Wealdstone 1010 221
14 Scunthorpe 1010 111
14 Yeovil 1010 111
16 Carlisle 1001 230
16 Halifax 1001 230
18 Gateshead 1001 120
19 Boston Utd 1001 010
20 Altrincham 1001 130
21 Barrow 1001 020
22 Solihull Moors 1001 250
23 Kidderminster 1001 030
23 Woking 1001 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wealdstone

DLDLWLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 AFC Fylde
England National League
0-0 2-2 53 D
01/08 Slough
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-0 21 W
28/07 AFC Wimbledon
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 11 W
25/07 Milton Keynes Dons
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 80 W
21/07 Chertsey Town
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-2 21 L
18/07 Hemel Hempstead
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 21 W
14/07 QPR U23
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-4 L
17/05 Southend
England FA Trophy
0-0 0-0 81 D
25/04 Southend
England National League
1-2 1-2 53 L
18/04 Scunthorpe
England National League
0-0 1-1 20 D

Harrogate Town

LWWLWWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Solihull Moors
England National League
1-0 5-2 81 W
01/08 Scarborough Athletic
UK Friendlies
0-1 2-1 90 W
25/07 Doncaster
UK Friendlies
2-0 2-2 40 D
21/07 South Shields
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-1 30 W
18/07 Cleethorpes Town
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 20 W
11/07 Guiseley
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-1 30 W
02/05 Barnet
England League 2
1-1 1-2 44 L
25/04 Walsall
England League 2
1-0 2-0 35 W
18/04 Colchester
England League 2
0-0 1-0 75 W
11/04 Newport County
England League 2
1-1 1-2 73 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wealdstone vs Harrogate Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Harrogate Town win (47%). Probabilities: Wealdstone 27%, draw 26%, Harrogate Town 47%.

How many goals are expected in Wealdstone vs Harrogate Town?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Wealdstone 1.09 · Harrogate Town 1.53), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wealdstone vs Harrogate Town?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.