Football · England National League · 15/08, 16:00

Result and prediction: Yeovil vs Carlisle

Final result

Yeovil 1-1 Carlisle

Half time: 1-0

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · Carlisle 49%

25% 26% 49%

YeovilDrawCarlisle

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Yeovil	Draw	Carlisle
Our model	25%	27%	48%
Market	26%	25%	50%

Estimated total (goals) 2.71 · actual 2

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.