Football · England National League · 22/08, 13:30
Prediction: Boston Utd vs Altrincham
Team pages: Boston Utd · Altrincham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Boston Utd1.5
Altrincham0.99
1X2
Boston Utd
Draw
Altrincham
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Boston Utd
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Altrincham
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boston Utd
2–2–2
Altrincham
(6 last)
- Boston Utd2-2Altrincham
- Altrincham1-0Boston Utd
- Boston Utd1-0Altrincham
- Altrincham2-2Boston Utd
- Boston Utd0-1Altrincham
- Boston Utd5-0Altrincham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boston Utd 1520 · Altrincham 1497
| Boston Utd | Draw | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boston Utd | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4 | 1.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston Utd 2–2–2 Altrincham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 England National League | Boston Utd | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Altrincham |
| 05/11/25 England National League | Altrincham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Boston Utd |
| 12/04/25 England National League | Boston Utd | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Altrincham |
| 21/09/24 England National League | Altrincham | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Boston Utd |
| 01/08/20 England National League North | Boston Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Altrincham |
| 26/08/19 England National League North | Boston Utd | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Altrincham |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Southend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Gateshead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Worthing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Aldershot | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Kidderminster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Yeovil | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Tamworth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Halifax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boston Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Hednesford Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/07 | Grimsby UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Peterborough UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/07 | Alfreton Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Altrincham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Southend England National League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Man Utd U21 UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Macclesfield UK Friendlies |
2-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Chorley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/07 | Colwyn Bay UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Gateshead England National League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | York England National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boston Utd vs Altrincham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston Utd win (49%). Probabilities: Boston Utd 49%, draw 27%, Altrincham 25%.
How many goals are expected in Boston Utd vs Altrincham?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Boston Utd 1.5 · Altrincham 0.99), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Boston Utd vs Altrincham?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.