Football · England National League · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: Forest Green vs Altrincham
Team pages: Forest Green · Altrincham
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Forest Green2.01
Altrincham1.05
1X2
Forest Green
Draw
Altrincham
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Forest Green
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Altrincham
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Forest Green
4–2–0
Altrincham
(6 last)
- Forest Green1-1Altrincham
- Altrincham1-2Forest Green
- Altrincham1-1Forest Green
- Forest Green2-1Altrincham
- Forest Green2-0Altrincham
- Altrincham0-1Forest Green
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Forest Green 1531 · Altrincham 1471
| Forest Green | Draw | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Forest Green (rating 1531 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Forest Green: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Forest Green | Altrincham | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7.4 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Forest Green 4–2–0 Altrincham
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 England National League | Forest Green | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Altrincham |
| 23/09/25 England National League | Altrincham | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Forest Green |
| 25/01/25 England National League | Altrincham | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Forest Green |
| 26/08/24 England National League | Forest Green | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Altrincham |
| 28/11/15 England National League | Forest Green | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Altrincham |
| 08/08/15 England National League | Altrincham | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Forest Green |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Southend | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AFC Hornchurch | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Eastleigh | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Harrogate Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Kidderminster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Boston Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Hartlepool | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Worthing | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Carlisle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamworth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Halifax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Altrincham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 21 | Woking | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 22 | Wealdstone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 23 | Barrow | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Forest Green
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Halifax England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Morecambe England National League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Braintree Town England National League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Truro City England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 03/04 | Brackley England National League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
Altrincham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Halifax England National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Southend England National League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Gateshead England National League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | York England National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/03 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Forest Green vs Altrincham?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Forest Green win (59%). Probabilities: Forest Green 59%, draw 22%, Altrincham 19%.
How many goals are expected in Forest Green vs Altrincham?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Forest Green 2.01 · Altrincham 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Forest Green vs Altrincham?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.