Football · England National League · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: Yeovil vs Tamworth
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Yeovil1.57
Tamworth1.28
1X2
Yeovil
Draw
Tamworth
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Yeovil
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Tamworth
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yeovil
2–1–1
Tamworth
(4 last)
- Yeovil2-0Tamworth
- Tamworth1-0Yeovil
- Yeovil2-1Tamworth
- Tamworth0-0Yeovil
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yeovil 1493 · Tamworth 1507
| Yeovil | Draw | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Yeovil: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yeovil | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.3 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yeovil 2–1–1 Tamworth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 England National League | Yeovil | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tamworth |
| 20/09/25 England National League | Tamworth | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Yeovil |
| 18/02/25 England National League | Yeovil | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Tamworth |
| 22/10/24 England National League | Tamworth | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Yeovil |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Southend | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AFC Hornchurch | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Eastleigh | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Harrogate Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Kidderminster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Boston Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Hartlepool | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Worthing | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Carlisle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamworth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Halifax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Altrincham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 21 | Woking | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 22 | Wealdstone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 23 | Barrow | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yeovil | Tamworth |
|---|---|---|
| Solihull Moors | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| York | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Halifax | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Eastleigh | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tamworth (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yeovil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Barrow England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | Carlisle England National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | York England National League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Truro City England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/03 | Southend England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Tamworth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 22/08 | Halifax England National League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Boreham Wood England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Braintree Town England National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | York England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/04 | Halifax England National League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Brackley England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yeovil vs Tamworth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yeovil win (43%). Probabilities: Yeovil 43%, draw 27%, Tamworth 30%.
How many goals are expected in Yeovil vs Tamworth?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Yeovil 1.57 · Tamworth 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Yeovil vs Tamworth?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.