Football · England National League · 31/08, 16:00
Prediction: Woking vs Southend
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Woking1.06
Southend1.49
1X2
Woking
Draw
Southend
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Woking
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Southend
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Woking
0–5–1
Southend
(6 last)
- Southend1-1Woking
- Woking1-1Southend
- Southend2-2Woking
- Woking0-0Southend
- Southend0-0Woking
- Woking0-2Southend
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Woking 1486 · Southend 1542
| Woking | Draw | Southend | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Southend (rating 1486 vs 1542).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Woking | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Woking 0–5–1 Southend
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 England National League | Southend | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Woking |
| 05/11/25 England National League | Woking | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Southend |
| 04/03/25 England National League | Southend | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Woking |
| 26/11/24 England National League | Woking | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Southend |
| 23/03/24 England National League | Southend | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Woking |
| 07/10/23 England National League | Woking | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Southend |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Southend | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AFC Hornchurch | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Eastleigh | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Harrogate Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Kidderminster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Boston Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Hartlepool | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Worthing | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Carlisle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamworth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Halifax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Altrincham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 21 | Woking | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 22 | Wealdstone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 23 | Barrow | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Woking | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Halifax | 0-1 L | 6-2 W |
| Solihull Moors | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Southend (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Woking
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Gateshead England National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Morecambe England National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Braintree Town England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
Southend
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Kidderminster England National League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Altrincham England National League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Halifax England National League |
3-1 | 6-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Aldershot England National League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Woking vs Southend?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Southend win (46%). Probabilities: Woking 26%, draw 27%, Southend 46%.
How many goals are expected in Woking vs Southend?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Woking 1.06 · Southend 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Woking vs Southend?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.