Football · England National League · 22/08, 13:30
Prediction: Harrogate Town vs Barrow
Team pages: Harrogate Town · Barrow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Harrogate Town1.45
Barrow1.26
1X2
Harrogate Town
Draw
Barrow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Harrogate Town
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Barrow
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Harrogate Town
3–1–2
Barrow
(6 last)
- Barrow0-1Harrogate Town
- Harrogate Town1-0Barrow
- Barrow0-2Harrogate Town
- Harrogate Town0-1Barrow
- Barrow0-0Harrogate Town
- Harrogate Town0-1Barrow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harrogate Town 1604 · Barrow 1497
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harrogate Town (rating 1604 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Harrogate Town: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Harrogate Town | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 2.8 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harrogate Town 3–1–2 Barrow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 England League 2 | Barrow | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Harrogate Town |
| 19/08/25 England League 2 | Harrogate Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barrow |
| 04/01/25 England League 2 | Barrow | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Harrogate Town |
| 31/08/24 England League 2 | Harrogate Town | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barrow |
| 16/03/24 England League 2 | Barrow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Harrogate Town |
| 02/09/23 England League 2 | Harrogate Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Barrow |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Southend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Gateshead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Worthing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Aldershot | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Kidderminster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Yeovil | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Tamworth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Halifax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harrogate Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Wealdstone England National League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-0 | 5-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Scarborough Athletic UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Doncaster UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | South Shields UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Cleethorpes Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Guiseley UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Walsall England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Barrow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Morecambe UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Blackpool UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Radcliffe FC UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Mansfield Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Workington UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Holker Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Newport County England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Cambridge Utd England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Harrogate Town win (41%). Probabilities: Harrogate Town 41%, draw 27%, Barrow 32%.
How many goals are expected in Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Harrogate Town 1.45 · Barrow 1.26), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.