Football · England National League · 22/08, 13:30
Prediction: Kidderminster vs Aldershot
Team pages: Kidderminster · Aldershot
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Kidderminster1.43
Aldershot1.15
1X2
Kidderminster
Draw
Aldershot
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kidderminster
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Aldershot
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kidderminster
3–3
Aldershot
(6 last)
- Kidderminster4-2Aldershot
- Aldershot1-0Kidderminster
- Aldershot1-0Kidderminster
- Kidderminster2-0Aldershot
- Aldershot0-1Kidderminster
- Kidderminster0-2Aldershot
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kidderminster 1594 · Aldershot 1516
| Kidderminster | Draw | Aldershot | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kidderminster (rating 1594 vs 1516).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kidderminster | Aldershot | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 5.9 | 2.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kidderminster 3–0–3 Aldershot
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/24 England National League | Kidderminster | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Aldershot |
| 11/11/23 England National League | Aldershot | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kidderminster |
| 30/01/16 England National League | Aldershot | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kidderminster |
| 14/11/15 England National League | Kidderminster | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aldershot |
| 20/01/15 England National League | Aldershot | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kidderminster |
| 12/11/14 England National League | Kidderminster | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Aldershot |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Southend | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Boreham Wood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Gateshead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Boston Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Worthing | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Aldershot | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Kidderminster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Yeovil | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Tamworth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Carlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Halifax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 | Altrincham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 | Woking | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kidderminster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Stourbridge Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Alvechurch UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Halesowen UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Droitwich SPA FC Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | South Shields England National League North |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Macclesfield England National League North |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | South Shields England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Leamington England National League North |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
Aldershot
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Braintree Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Hanwell Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Oxford Utd UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Farnborough UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | Bedford Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Truro City England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Brackley England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kidderminster vs Aldershot?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kidderminster win (43%). Probabilities: Kidderminster 43%, draw 27%, Aldershot 30%.
How many goals are expected in Kidderminster vs Aldershot?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Kidderminster 1.43 · Aldershot 1.15), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kidderminster vs Aldershot?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.