Football · England National League · 22/08, 13:30

Prediction: Woking vs AFC Fylde

Team pages: Woking · AFC Fylde

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Woking1.58

AFC Fylde1.33

1X2

42% 26% 31%

Woking Draw AFC Fylde

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Woking 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLWLL

AFC Fylde 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLDLDW

Head-to-head

Woking 5–1–0 AFC Fylde (6 last)

Woking1-0AFC Fylde
AFC Fylde1-1Woking
Woking3-0AFC Fylde
AFC Fylde0-2Woking
AFC Fylde1-4Woking
Woking1-0AFC Fylde

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Woking 1479 · AFC Fylde 1512

	Woking	Draw	AFC Fylde
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	42%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Woking: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Woking	AFC Fylde
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.8	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.21
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.74 ★
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:51 +11’	2.15	3.50	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:58 +4’	2.21	3.74	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Woking 5–1–0 AFC Fylde

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/25 England National League	Woking	1-0 HT 0-0	AFC Fylde
21/09/24 England National League	AFC Fylde	1-1 HT 0-0	Woking
20/04/24 England National League	Woking	3-0 HT 1-0	AFC Fylde
30/09/23 England National League	AFC Fylde	0-2 HT 0-1	Woking
17/08/19 England National League	AFC Fylde	1-4 HT 0-2	Woking
27/01/18 England National League	Woking	1-0 HT 0-0	AFC Fylde

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Harrogate Town	2	2	0	0	8	3	6
2	AFC Hornchurch	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Sutton Utd	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	Southend	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
5	Hartlepool	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
6	Forest Green	2	2	0	0	5	3	6
7	Boreham Wood	2	1	1	0	6	4	4
8	AFC Fylde	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
9	Gateshead	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
10	Boston Utd	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
11	Worthing	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
12	Eastleigh	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
13	Aldershot	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
14	Kidderminster	2	1	0	1	1	3	3
15	Yeovil	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
16	Tamworth	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
17	Carlisle	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
18	Scunthorpe	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
19	Wealdstone	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
20	Halifax	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
21	Altrincham	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
21	Barrow	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
23	Solihull Moors	2	0	0	2	2	7	0
24	Woking	2	0	0	2	0	5	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Woking

WDWLWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Gateshead England National League	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
08/08	Sutton Utd England National League	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
01/08	Eastbourne Borough Club Friendly List	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/07	Reading UK Friendlies	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
14/07	Portsmouth UK Friendlies	1-1	1-2	5	0	L
11/07	Sholing Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
18/04	Gateshead England National League	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
14/04	Solihull Moors England National League	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
11/04	Morecambe England National League	2-1	5-1	8	3	W

AFC Fylde

LWWLWLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Tamworth England National League	2-1	2-1	4	7	W
08/08	Wealdstone England National League	0-0	2-2	5	3	D
01/08	Warrington Rylands UK Friendlies	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
28/07	Morecambe UK Friendlies	0-0	1-1	7	0	D
18/07	Huddersfield UK Friendlies	1-0	1-2	1	0	L
14/07	Hyde Utd UK Friendlies	2-0	3-1	5	0	W
11/07	Blackpool UK Friendlies	0-2	2-3	1	0	L
25/04	Merthyr Town England National League North	0-1	4-2	5	3	W
18/04	Southport England National League North	2-0	4-0	9	3	W
11/04	Chester England National League North	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Woking vs AFC Fylde?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Woking win (42%). Probabilities: Woking 42%, draw 26%, AFC Fylde 31%.

How many goals are expected in Woking vs AFC Fylde?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Woking 1.58 · AFC Fylde 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Woking vs AFC Fylde?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.