Football · England National League · 27/08, 20:45
Prediction: Boreham Wood vs Boston Utd
Team pages: Boreham Wood · Boston Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Boreham Wood1.85
Boston Utd0.92
1X2
Boreham Wood
Draw
Boston Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Boreham Wood
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Boston Utd
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boreham Wood
1–1
Boston Utd
(2 last)
- Boreham Wood1-2Boston Utd
- Boston Utd0-2Boreham Wood
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boreham Wood 1623 · Boston Utd 1516
| Boreham Wood | Draw | Boston Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boreham Wood (rating 1623 vs 1516).
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boreham Wood | Boston Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 7.8 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boreham Wood 1–0–1 Boston Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 England National League | Boreham Wood | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Boston Utd |
| 20/09/25 England National League | Boston Utd | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Boreham Wood |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Boston Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | AFC Hornchurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Worthing | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Yeovil | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Kidderminster | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Halifax | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Woking | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 19 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Barrow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boreham Wood | Boston Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Solihull Moors | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boreham Wood
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Forest Green England National League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Halifax England National League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Rochdale England National League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Carlisle England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 29/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Morecambe England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
Boston Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Altrincham England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Truro City England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Brackley England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | York England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/03 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boreham Wood vs Boston Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boreham Wood win (59%). Probabilities: Boreham Wood 59%, draw 24%, Boston Utd 18%.
How many goals are expected in Boreham Wood vs Boston Utd?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Boreham Wood 1.85 · Boston Utd 0.92), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Boreham Wood vs Boston Utd?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.