Football · England National League · 05/09, 13:30

Prediction: Aldershot vs Halifax

Team pages: Aldershot · Halifax

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

Aldershot1.87

Halifax1.7

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Aldershot Draw Halifax

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Aldershot 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLWLDW

Halifax 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWLLWL

Head-to-head

Aldershot 4–2 Halifax (6 last)

Aldershot3-2Halifax
Halifax4-2Aldershot
Aldershot3-4Halifax
Halifax0-1Aldershot
Halifax1-2Aldershot
Aldershot1-0Halifax

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aldershot 1510 · Halifax 1530

	Aldershot	Draw	Halifax
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Aldershot: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aldershot	Halifax
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.6	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:02 +6’	2.25	3.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aldershot 4–0–2 Halifax

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 England National League	Aldershot	3-2 HT 0-1	Halifax
27/09/25 England National League	Halifax	4-2 HT 2-1	Aldershot
14/12/24 England National League	Aldershot	3-4 HT 0-2	Halifax
17/08/24 England National League	Halifax	0-1 HT 0-1	Aldershot
03/02/24 England National League	Halifax	1-2 HT 1-0	Aldershot
25/11/23 England National League	Aldershot	1-0 HT 0-0	Halifax

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sutton Utd	4	4	0	0	7	1	12
2	Boreham Wood	4	3	1	0	11	5	10
3	Southend	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
4	AFC Hornchurch	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
5	Eastleigh	4	3	0	1	6	4	9
6	Yeovil	4	2	2	0	7	3	8
7	Harrogate Town	4	2	1	1	11	8	7
8	AFC Fylde	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
9	Aldershot	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
10	Kidderminster	4	2	1	1	5	5	7
11	Boston Utd	4	2	0	2	4	3	6
11	Hartlepool	4	2	0	2	4	3	6
13	Worthing	4	2	0	2	7	7	6
14	Forest Green	4	2	0	2	5	8	6
15	Carlisle	4	1	2	1	8	6	5
16	Scunthorpe	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
17	Tamworth	4	1	1	2	8	11	4
18	Halifax	4	1	0	3	8	9	3
19	Altrincham	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
19	Gateshead	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
21	Woking	4	1	0	3	3	8	3
22	Wealdstone	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
23	Barrow	4	0	1	3	4	8	1
24	Solihull Moors	4	0	0	4	4	13	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aldershot

DLLLLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Harrogate Town England National League	3-0	3-1	7	4	W
22/08	Kidderminster England National League	0-1	1-1	2	9	D
15/08	Hartlepool England National League	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
08/08	Boston Utd England National League	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
25/04	Truro City England National League	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
18/04	Brackley England National League	0-1	1-2	8	3	L
14/04	Southend England National League	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
11/04	Gateshead England National League	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
06/04	Wealdstone England National League	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
03/04	Sutton Utd England National League	2-1	2-2	9	9	D

Halifax

LWDDLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Altrincham England National League	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
22/08	Tamworth England National League	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
15/08	Boreham Wood England National League	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
08/08	Forest Green England National League	1-0	2-3	5	3	L
25/04	Woking England National League	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
18/04	Southend England National League	1-3	2-6	4	3	L
11/04	Yeovil England National League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
06/04	Tamworth England National League	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
03/04	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
28/03	Scunthorpe England National League	1-1	1-2	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aldershot vs Halifax?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aldershot win (41%). Probabilities: Aldershot 41%, draw 25%, Halifax 34%.

How many goals are expected in Aldershot vs Halifax?

The model expects 3.58 goals (Aldershot 1.87 · Halifax 1.7), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Aldershot vs Halifax?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.