Football · England National League · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Gateshead vs Solihull Moors
Team pages: Gateshead · Solihull Moors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Gateshead1.51
Solihull Moors1.36
1X2
Gateshead
Draw
Solihull Moors
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Gateshead
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Solihull Moors
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gateshead
3–1–2
Solihull Moors
(6 last)
- Solihull Moors1-2Gateshead
- Gateshead0-2Solihull Moors
- Solihull Moors1-3Gateshead
- Gateshead1-0Solihull Moors
- Gateshead1-1Solihull Moors
- Gateshead2-3Solihull Moors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gateshead 1443 · Solihull Moors 1431
| Gateshead | Draw | Solihull Moors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gateshead: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gateshead | Solihull Moors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.5 | 2.7 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gateshead 3–1–2 Solihull Moors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England National League | Solihull Moors | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Gateshead |
| 08/11/25 England National League | Gateshead | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Solihull Moors |
| 22/02/25 England National League | Solihull Moors | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Gateshead |
| 26/10/24 England National League | Gateshead | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Solihull Moors |
| 11/05/24 England FA Trophy | Gateshead | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Solihull Moors |
| 05/03/24 England National League | Gateshead | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Solihull Moors |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Southend | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AFC Hornchurch | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Eastleigh | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Harrogate Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Kidderminster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Boston Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Hartlepool | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Worthing | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Carlisle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamworth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Halifax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Altrincham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 21 | Woking | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 22 | Wealdstone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 23 | Barrow | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gateshead | Solihull Moors |
|---|---|---|
| Yeovil | 0-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Woking | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Scunthorpe | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gateshead (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gateshead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Yeovil England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Woking England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Aldershot England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 06/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Carlisle England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Solihull Moors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Southend England National League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Yeovil England National League |
4-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Southend England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Tamworth England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gateshead vs Solihull Moors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gateshead win (40%). Probabilities: Gateshead 40%, draw 27%, Solihull Moors 33%.
How many goals are expected in Gateshead vs Solihull Moors?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Gateshead 1.51 · Solihull Moors 1.36), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gateshead vs Solihull Moors?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.