Football · England National League · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: Hartlepool vs Woking
Team pages: Hartlepool · Woking
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Hartlepool1.45
Woking1
1X2
Hartlepool
Draw
Woking
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hartlepool
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Woking
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hartlepool
1–2–3
Woking
(6 last)
- Woking4-0Hartlepool
- Hartlepool3-0Woking
- Hartlepool1-1Woking
- Woking3-2Hartlepool
- Woking1-1Hartlepool
- Hartlepool0-2Woking
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hartlepool 1502 · Woking 1486
| Hartlepool | Draw | Woking | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Woking: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hartlepool | Woking | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.5 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hartlepool 1–2–3 Woking
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 England National League | Woking | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Hartlepool |
| 23/08/25 England National League | Hartlepool | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Woking |
| 25/01/25 England National League | Hartlepool | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Woking |
| 26/08/24 England National League | Woking | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Hartlepool |
| 10/02/24 England National League | Woking | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Hartlepool |
| 16/09/23 England National League | Hartlepool | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Woking |
Standings · England National League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Southend | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AFC Hornchurch | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Eastleigh | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Harrogate Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Kidderminster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Boston Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Hartlepool | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Worthing | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Carlisle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamworth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Halifax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Altrincham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 21 | Woking | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 22 | Wealdstone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 23 | Barrow | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hartlepool | Woking |
|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Sutton Utd | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hartlepool
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Barrow England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Southend England National League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Forest Green England National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Rochdale England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Woking
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Gateshead England National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Morecambe England National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Braintree Town England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hartlepool vs Woking?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hartlepool win (47%). Probabilities: Hartlepool 47%, draw 28%, Woking 25%.
How many goals are expected in Hartlepool vs Woking?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Hartlepool 1.45 · Woking 1), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hartlepool vs Woking?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.