Prediction: Wealdstone vs Carlisle
Team pages: Wealdstone · Carlisle
- Carlisle2-0Wealdstone
- Wealdstone0-1Carlisle
| Wealdstone | Draw | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 27% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 25% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlisle (rating 1461 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Carlisle: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wealdstone | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.5 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wealdstone 0–0–2 Carlisle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/26 England National League | Carlisle | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Wealdstone |
| 23/08/25 England National League | Wealdstone | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Carlisle |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Boston Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | AFC Hornchurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Worthing | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Yeovil | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Kidderminster | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Halifax | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Woking | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 19 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Barrow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wealdstone | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Boreham Wood | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Carlisle (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wealdstone
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Harrogate Town England National League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Southend England National League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 14/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Rochdale England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Aldershot England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/03 | Hartlepool England National League |
5-0 | 7-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Carlisle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Yeovil England National League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Worthing England National League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Boreham Wood England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 25/04 | Brackley England National League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Truro City England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Sutton Utd England National League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/04 | Morecambe England National League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Gateshead England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Braintree Town England National League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wealdstone vs Carlisle?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Carlisle win (47%). Probabilities: Wealdstone 26%, draw 26%, Carlisle 47%.
How many goals are expected in Wealdstone vs Carlisle?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Wealdstone 1.15 · Carlisle 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wealdstone vs Carlisle?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.