Football · England National League · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Boston Utd vs Wealdstone
Team pages: Boston Utd · Wealdstone
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Boston Utd1.52
Wealdstone1
1X2
Boston Utd
Draw
Wealdstone
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Boston Utd
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Wealdstone
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boston Utd
2–1–1
Wealdstone
(4 last)
- Wealdstone1-1Boston Utd
- Boston Utd2-1Wealdstone
- Boston Utd2-0Wealdstone
- Wealdstone1-0Boston Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boston Utd 1506 · Wealdstone 1481
| Boston Utd | Draw | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Boston Utd: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boston Utd | Wealdstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston Utd 2–1–1 Wealdstone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 England National League | Wealdstone | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Boston Utd |
| 25/08/25 England National League | Boston Utd | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Wealdstone |
| 18/04/25 England National League | Boston Utd | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Wealdstone |
| 01/04/25 England National League | Wealdstone | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Boston Utd |
Standings · England National League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Southend | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | AFC Hornchurch | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Sutton Utd | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | AFC Fylde | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Hartlepool | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Altrincham | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Forest Green | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Boston Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Worthing | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | Halifax | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 18 | Barrow | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 19 | Tamworth | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 5 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 22 | Gateshead | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 23 | Woking | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boston Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 27/08 | Boreham Wood England National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Altrincham England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Truro City England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Wealdstone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Kidderminster England National League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 31/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Carlisle England National League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Harrogate Town England National League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Southend England National League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 14/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Rochdale England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boston Utd vs Wealdstone?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston Utd win (49%). Probabilities: Boston Utd 49%, draw 27%, Wealdstone 25%.
How many goals are expected in Boston Utd vs Wealdstone?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Boston Utd 1.52 · Wealdstone 1), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Boston Utd vs Wealdstone?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.