Football · England National League · 18/09, 20:45
Prediction: Yeovil vs Solihull Moors
Team pages: Yeovil · Solihull Moors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Yeovil2.04
Solihull Moors1.34
1X2
Yeovil
Draw
Solihull Moors
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Yeovil
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Solihull Moors
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yeovil
3–1–2
Solihull Moors
(6 last)
- Yeovil1-4Solihull Moors
- Solihull Moors0-1Yeovil
- Solihull Moors0-3Yeovil
- Yeovil0-1Solihull Moors
- Solihull Moors2-2Yeovil
- Yeovil1-0Solihull Moors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yeovil 1479 · Solihull Moors 1379
| Yeovil | Draw | Solihull Moors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yeovil (rating 1479 vs 1379).
- H2H favours Yeovil: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yeovil | Solihull Moors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 1.7 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yeovil 3–1–2 Solihull Moors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 England National League | Yeovil | 1-4 HT 1-4 | Solihull Moors |
| 02/09/25 England National League | Solihull Moors | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Yeovil |
| 22/03/25 England National League | Solihull Moors | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Yeovil |
| 10/09/24 England National League | Yeovil | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Solihull Moors |
| 15/04/23 England National League | Solihull Moors | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Yeovil |
| 08/10/22 England National League | Yeovil | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Solihull Moors |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Southend | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aldershot | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Hornchurch | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Sutton Utd | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Yeovil | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Halifax | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Altrincham | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 16 | Worthing | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Woking | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 21 | Barrow | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 5 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yeovil | Solihull Moors |
|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Southend | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Gateshead | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Scunthorpe | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Yeovil (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yeovil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Southend England National League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/08 | Barrow England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | Carlisle England National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | York England National League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Solihull Moors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Aldershot England National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Gateshead England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 31/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Southend England National League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Yeovil England National League |
4-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yeovil vs Solihull Moors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yeovil win (52%). Probabilities: Yeovil 52%, draw 24%, Solihull Moors 24%.
How many goals are expected in Yeovil vs Solihull Moors?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Yeovil 2.04 · Solihull Moors 1.34), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Yeovil vs Solihull Moors?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.