Football · England National League · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Forest Green vs Boston Utd

Team pages: Forest Green · Boston Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.98Total

Forest Green1.85

Boston Utd1.13

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Forest Green Draw Boston Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Forest Green 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLLLWW

Boston Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWLLDL

Head-to-head

Forest Green 2–1–1 Boston Utd (4 last)

Forest Green2-3Boston Utd
Boston Utd0-0Forest Green
Forest Green1-0Boston Utd
Boston Utd0-4Forest Green

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forest Green 1468 · Boston Utd 1461

	Forest Green	Draw	Boston Utd
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	54%	23%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Forest Green: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forest Green	Boston Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.5	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:45 +18’	1.70	3.90	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forest Green 2–1–1 Boston Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/26 England National League	Forest Green	2-3 HT 0-3	Boston Utd
01/10/25 England National League	Boston Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	Forest Green
14/12/24 England National League	Forest Green	1-0 HT 1-0	Boston Utd
17/08/24 England National League	Boston Utd	0-4 HT 0-3	Forest Green

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	7	5	2	0	17	9	17
2	Harrogate Town	7	5	1	1	18	10	16
3	AFC Fylde	7	4	2	1	17	10	14
4	Kidderminster	7	4	2	1	12	7	14
5	Southend	7	4	2	1	14	10	14
6	Aldershot	7	4	2	1	9	5	14
7	Forest Green	7	4	0	3	11	10	12
8	AFC Hornchurch	7	4	0	3	10	11	12
9	Sutton Utd	7	4	0	3	7	8	12
10	Yeovil	7	3	2	2	13	12	11
11	Eastleigh	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
12	Carlisle	7	2	3	2	15	12	9
13	Halifax	7	3	0	4	12	10	9
14	Hartlepool	7	3	0	4	5	6	9
15	Altrincham	7	3	0	4	8	13	9
16	Worthing	7	2	2	3	13	14	8
17	Wealdstone	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
18	Scunthorpe	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
19	Boston Utd	7	2	1	4	9	11	7
19	Woking	7	2	1	4	9	11	7
21	Barrow	7	1	3	3	10	11	6
22	Tamworth	7	1	2	4	13	19	5
23	Gateshead	7	1	1	5	5	13	4
24	Solihull Moors	7	0	1	6	7	19	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forest Green	Boston Utd
AFC Hornchurch	1-0 W	2-3 L
Altrincham	1-2 L	1-0 W
Boreham Wood	0-3 L	1-2 L
Hartlepool	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Boston Utd (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forest Green

LWDWWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	4-0	5	6	W
05/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-2	10	4	L
28/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
22/08	Boreham Wood England National League	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
15/08	Worthing England National League	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
08/08	Halifax England National League	0-1	3-2	8	3	W
29/04	Boreham Wood England National League	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
25/04	Morecambe England National League	2-0	5-0	6	0	W
18/04	Hartlepool England National League	0-2	1-2	5	2	L

Boston Utd

DWWLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
05/09	Tamworth England National League	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
31/08	AFC Hornchurch England National League	2-1	2-3	10	2	L
27/08	Boreham Wood England National League	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
22/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
15/08	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	Aldershot England National League	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
25/04	Hartlepool England National League	0-0	3-1	4	4	W
18/04	Solihull Moors England National League	0-0	3-0	6	3	W
14/04	Wealdstone England National League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forest Green vs Boston Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forest Green win (53%). Probabilities: Forest Green 53%, draw 24%, Boston Utd 23%.

How many goals are expected in Forest Green vs Boston Utd?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Forest Green 1.85 · Boston Utd 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Forest Green vs Boston Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.