Football · England National League · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Halifax vs Sutton Utd
Team pages: Halifax · Sutton Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Halifax1.48
Sutton Utd1.35
1X2
Halifax
Draw
Sutton Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Halifax
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Sutton Utd
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Halifax
1–3–2
Sutton Utd
(6 last)
- Halifax2-2Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd2-0Halifax
- Sutton Utd0-3Halifax
- Halifax0-0Sutton Utd
- Halifax2-2Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd1-0Halifax
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Halifax 1539 · Sutton Utd 1497
| Halifax | Draw | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Halifax (rating 1539 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Sutton Utd: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Halifax | Sutton Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Halifax 1–3–2 Sutton Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England National League | Halifax | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Sutton Utd |
| 15/11/25 England National League | Sutton Utd | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Halifax |
| 15/03/25 England National League | Sutton Utd | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Halifax |
| 10/12/24 England National League | Halifax | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 27/03/21 England National League | Halifax | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 28/11/20 England National League | Sutton Utd | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Halifax |
Standings · England National League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Southend | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aldershot | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Hornchurch | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Sutton Utd | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Yeovil | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Halifax | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Altrincham | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 16 | Worthing | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Woking | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 21 | Barrow | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 5 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Halifax | Sutton Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Altrincham | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Boreham Wood | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Woking | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sutton Utd (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Halifax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Altrincham England National League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Tamworth England National League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Forest Green England National League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Southend England National League |
1-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Sutton Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Barrow England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 31/08 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Gateshead England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Hartlepool England National League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Carlisle England National League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Halifax vs Sutton Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Halifax win (40%). Probabilities: Halifax 40%, draw 27%, Sutton Utd 34%.
How many goals are expected in Halifax vs Sutton Utd?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Halifax 1.48 · Sutton Utd 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Halifax vs Sutton Utd?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.