Prediction: Sutton Utd vs Scunthorpe
Team pages: Sutton Utd · Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe1-2Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd2-3Scunthorpe
- Sutton Utd4-1Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe1-1Sutton Utd
| Sutton Utd | Draw | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutton Utd (rating 1509 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Sutton Utd: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutton Utd | Scunthorpe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.6 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutton Utd 2–1–1 Scunthorpe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 England National League | Scunthorpe | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 23/08/25 England National League | Sutton Utd | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Scunthorpe |
| 26/02/22 England League 2 | Sutton Utd | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 21/08/21 England League 2 | Scunthorpe | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sutton Utd |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Southend | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | AFC Hornchurch | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Sutton Utd | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | AFC Fylde | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Hartlepool | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Altrincham | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Forest Green | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Boston Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Worthing | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | Halifax | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 18 | Barrow | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 19 | Tamworth | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 5 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 22 | Gateshead | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 23 | Woking | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutton Utd | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Wealdstone | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Carlisle | 0-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Southend | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Scunthorpe (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Barrow England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 31/08 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Gateshead England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Hartlepool England National League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Carlisle England National League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/04 | Southend England National League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Scunthorpe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/08 | Carlisle England National League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Southend England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Rochdale England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Southend England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutton Utd vs Scunthorpe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutton Utd win (39%). Probabilities: Sutton Utd 39%, draw 27%, Scunthorpe 34%.
How many goals are expected in Sutton Utd vs Scunthorpe?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Sutton Utd 1.42 · Scunthorpe 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutton Utd vs Scunthorpe?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.