Football · England National League · 15/09, 20:45

Prediction: Boston Utd vs Woking

Team pages: Boston Utd · Woking

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Boston Utd1.35

Woking1.12

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Boston Utd Draw Woking

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Boston Utd 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWLLDL

Woking 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWLDLW

Head-to-head

Boston Utd 0–3–1 Woking (4 last)

Boston Utd2-2Woking
Woking1-1Boston Utd
Boston Utd2-2Woking
Woking1-0Boston Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boston Utd 1462 · Woking 1504

	Boston Utd	Draw	Woking
Our model	41%	30%	30%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Woking (rating 1462 vs 1504).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boston Utd	Woking
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.57 ★
2	3.20 → 2.90▼	Pinn 2.93

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:38 +68’	2.00	3.50	3.20
06:09 +3’	2.15▲	3.40▼	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +210’	2.29	3.57	2.86
02:09 +2’	2.25▼	3.57	2.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston Utd 0–3–1 Woking

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 England National League	Boston Utd	2-2 HT 1-2	Woking
15/11/25 England National League	Woking	1-1 HT 1-0	Boston Utd
08/03/25 England National League	Boston Utd	2-2 HT 0-1	Woking
16/11/24 England National League	Woking	1-0 HT 1-0	Boston Utd

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	7	5	2	0	17	9	17
2	Harrogate Town	7	5	1	1	18	10	16
3	AFC Fylde	7	4	2	1	17	10	14
4	Kidderminster	7	4	2	1	12	7	14
5	Southend	7	4	2	1	14	10	14
6	Aldershot	7	4	2	1	9	5	14
7	Forest Green	7	4	0	3	11	10	12
8	AFC Hornchurch	7	4	0	3	10	11	12
9	Sutton Utd	7	4	0	3	7	8	12
10	Yeovil	7	3	2	2	13	12	11
11	Eastleigh	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
12	Carlisle	7	2	3	2	15	12	9
13	Halifax	7	3	0	4	12	10	9
14	Hartlepool	7	3	0	4	5	6	9
15	Altrincham	7	3	0	4	8	13	9
16	Worthing	7	2	2	3	13	14	8
17	Wealdstone	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
18	Scunthorpe	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
19	Boston Utd	7	2	1	4	9	11	7
19	Woking	7	2	1	4	9	11	7
21	Barrow	7	1	3	3	10	11	6
22	Tamworth	7	1	2	4	13	19	5
23	Gateshead	7	1	1	5	5	13	4
24	Solihull Moors	7	0	1	6	7	19	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boston Utd	Woking
AFC Hornchurch	2-3 L	0-1 L
Altrincham	1-0 W	5-1 W
Solihull Moors	2-0 W	0-0 D
Hartlepool	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Boston Utd (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boston Utd

DWWLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
05/09	Tamworth England National League	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
31/08	AFC Hornchurch England National League	2-1	2-3	10	2	L
27/08	Boreham Wood England National League	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
22/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
15/08	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
08/08	Aldershot England National League	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
25/04	Hartlepool England National League	0-0	3-1	4	4	W
18/04	Solihull Moors England National League	0-0	3-0	6	3	W
14/04	Wealdstone England National League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D

Woking

DWLLLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Altrincham England National League	3-1	5-1	3	3	W
05/09	Hartlepool England National League	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
31/08	Southend England National League	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
28/08	AFC Hornchurch England National League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
22/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-1	3-2	1	5	W
15/08	Gateshead England National League	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
08/08	Sutton Utd England National League	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
25/04	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
18/04	Gateshead England National League	1-0	3-0	2	3	W
14/04	Solihull Moors England National League	0-0	0-0	9	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boston Utd vs Woking?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston Utd win (41%). Probabilities: Boston Utd 41%, draw 28%, Woking 31%.

How many goals are expected in Boston Utd vs Woking?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Boston Utd 1.35 · Woking 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Boston Utd vs Woking?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.