Football · England National League · 16/09, 20:45
Prediction: Scunthorpe vs Boreham Wood
Team pages: Scunthorpe · Boreham Wood
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Scunthorpe1.21
Boreham Wood1.92
1X2
Scunthorpe
Draw
Boreham Wood
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Scunthorpe
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Boreham Wood
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Scunthorpe
1–1–2
Boreham Wood
(4 last)
- Boreham Wood1-3Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe1-1Boreham Wood
- Boreham Wood2-0Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe0-2Boreham Wood
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Scunthorpe 1518 · Boreham Wood 1595
| Scunthorpe | Draw | Boreham Wood | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 23% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boreham Wood (rating 1518 vs 1595).
- H2H favours Boreham Wood: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Scunthorpe | Boreham Wood | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 3.6 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Scunthorpe 1–1–2 Boreham Wood
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/26 England National League | Boreham Wood | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Scunthorpe |
| 24/09/25 England National League | Scunthorpe | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Boreham Wood |
| 25/02/23 England National League | Boreham Wood | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 03/09/22 England National League | Scunthorpe | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Boreham Wood |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Southend | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aldershot | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Hornchurch | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Sutton Utd | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Yeovil | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Halifax | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Altrincham | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 16 | Worthing | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Woking | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 21 | Barrow | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 5 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Scunthorpe | Boreham Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Eastleigh | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Rochdale | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Boreham Wood (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Scunthorpe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 31/08 | Carlisle England National League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Solihull Moors England National League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Southend England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Rochdale England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Southend England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Boreham Wood
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Carlisle England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Forest Green England National League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Halifax England National League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Rochdale England National League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Carlisle England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 29/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Scunthorpe vs Boreham Wood?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Boreham Wood win (53%). Probabilities: Scunthorpe 23%, draw 23%, Boreham Wood 53%.
How many goals are expected in Scunthorpe vs Boreham Wood?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Scunthorpe 1.21 · Boreham Wood 1.92), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Scunthorpe vs Boreham Wood?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.