Football · England National League · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Carlisle vs Woking

Team pages: Carlisle · Woking

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

Carlisle1.84

Woking1.05

1X2

55% 24% 21%

Carlisle Draw Woking

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Carlisle 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDWLDDL

Woking 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDLWDD

Head-to-head

Carlisle 1–1 Woking (2 last)

Carlisle1-3Woking
Woking0-2Carlisle

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlisle 1465 · Woking 1493

	Carlisle	Draw	Woking
Our model	55%	25%	20%
Market	55%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carlisle	Woking
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.1	1.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.12
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.63 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:07 +1’	1.65	3.90	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:51 +437’	1.65	4.08	4.57
09:39 +7’	1.63▼	4.11▲	4.63▲
14:22 +151’	1.63	4.12▲	4.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlisle 1–0–1 Woking

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/12/25 England National League	Carlisle	1-3 HT 1-2	Woking
09/08/25 England National League	Woking	0-2 HT 0-0	Carlisle

Standings · England National League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	9	7	2	0	23	11	23
2	Southend	9	6	2	1	23	12	20
3	Kidderminster	9	5	3	1	13	7	18
4	AFC Fylde	9	5	2	2	20	13	17
5	Harrogate Town	9	5	1	3	20	16	16
6	Sutton Utd	9	5	1	3	10	10	16
7	Yeovil	9	4	3	2	18	14	15
8	Aldershot	9	4	3	2	10	7	15
9	AFC Hornchurch	9	5	0	4	11	12	15
10	Altrincham	9	5	0	4	12	15	15
11	Worthing	9	4	2	3	17	15	14
12	Eastleigh	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
13	Halifax	9	4	1	4	14	11	13
14	Forest Green	9	4	1	4	13	14	13
15	Boston Utd	9	3	2	4	13	13	11
16	Carlisle	9	2	4	3	16	14	10
17	Barrow	9	2	3	4	11	12	9
18	Woking	9	2	3	4	10	12	9
19	Hartlepool	9	3	0	6	7	11	9
20	Wealdstone	9	2	2	5	11	15	8
21	Tamworth	9	2	2	5	16	23	8
22	Scunthorpe	9	2	1	6	11	15	7
23	Solihull Moors	9	1	1	7	9	23	4
24	Gateshead	9	1	1	7	6	20	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carlisle	Woking
Southend	2-2 D	1-1 D
AFC Hornchurch	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Carlisle (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlisle

DLDWDWLDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Eastleigh England National League	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
15/09	Forest Green England National League	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
12/09	Southend England National League	1-0	2-2	7	5	D
05/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
31/08	Scunthorpe England National League	3-1	4-2	6	4	W
28/08	Wealdstone England National League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
22/08	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	4-1	8	1	W
15/08	Yeovil England National League	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
08/08	Worthing England National League	1-0	2-3	8	2	L
03/05	Boreham Wood England National League	1-1	1-1	7	9	D

Woking

LLLWLDLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Kidderminster England National League	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
15/09	Boston Utd England National League	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
12/09	Altrincham England National League	3-1	5-1	3	3	W
05/09	Hartlepool England National League	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
31/08	Southend England National League	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
28/08	AFC Hornchurch England National League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
22/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-1	3-2	1	5	W
15/08	Gateshead England National League	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
08/08	Sutton Utd England National League	0-1	0-3	5	5	L
25/04	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-1	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlisle vs Woking?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carlisle win (55%). Probabilities: Carlisle 55%, draw 24%, Woking 21%.

How many goals are expected in Carlisle vs Woking?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Carlisle 1.84 · Woking 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Carlisle vs Woking?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.