Football · England National League · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Solihull Moors vs Boreham Wood

Team pages: Solihull Moors · Boreham Wood

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Solihull Moors1.31

Boreham Wood2.21

1X2

21% 22% 57%

Solihull Moors Draw Boreham Wood

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Solihull Moors 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLWL

Boreham Wood 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Solihull Moors 4–1–1 Boreham Wood (6 last)

Solihull Moors4-1Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood2-1Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors2-0Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood1-2Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors2-0Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood1-1Solihull Moors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Solihull Moors 1411 · Boreham Wood 1614

	Solihull Moors	Draw	Boreham Wood
Our model	21%	22%	57%
Market	21%	23%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boreham Wood (rating 1411 vs 1614).
H2H favours Solihull Moors: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Solihull Moors	Boreham Wood
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	3.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.00

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 4.33▼	Pinn 4.61
X	4.33 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.46 ★
2	1.48 → 1.60▲	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:58 +10’	5.25	4.33	1.48
16:50 +3’	4.33▼	4.00▼	1.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:17 +531’	4.70	4.52	1.56
04:18 +69’	4.61▼	4.46▼	1.58▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Solihull Moors 4–1–1 Boreham Wood

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England National League	Solihull Moors	4-1 HT 2-0	Boreham Wood
30/12/25 England National League	Boreham Wood	2-1 HT 2-1	Solihull Moors
12/03/24 England National League	Solihull Moors	2-0 HT 0-0	Boreham Wood
16/08/23 England National League	Boreham Wood	1-2 HT 0-1	Solihull Moors
18/03/23 England National League	Solihull Moors	2-0 HT 0-0	Boreham Wood
14/02/23 England National League	Boreham Wood	1-1 HT 1-0	Solihull Moors

Standings · England National League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	9	7	2	0	23	11	23
2	Southend	9	6	2	1	23	12	20
3	Kidderminster	9	5	3	1	13	7	18
4	AFC Fylde	9	5	2	2	20	13	17
5	Harrogate Town	9	5	1	3	20	16	16
6	Sutton Utd	9	5	1	3	10	10	16
7	Yeovil	9	4	3	2	18	14	15
8	Aldershot	9	4	3	2	10	7	15
9	AFC Hornchurch	9	5	0	4	11	12	15
10	Altrincham	9	5	0	4	12	15	15
11	Worthing	9	4	2	3	17	15	14
12	Eastleigh	9	4	2	3	11	10	14
13	Halifax	9	4	1	4	14	11	13
14	Forest Green	9	4	1	4	13	14	13
15	Boston Utd	9	3	2	4	13	13	11
16	Carlisle	9	2	4	3	16	14	10
17	Barrow	9	2	3	4	11	12	9
18	Woking	9	2	3	4	10	12	9
19	Hartlepool	9	3	0	6	7	11	9
20	Wealdstone	9	2	2	5	11	15	8
21	Tamworth	9	2	2	5	16	23	8
22	Scunthorpe	9	2	1	6	11	15	7
23	Solihull Moors	9	1	1	7	9	23	4
24	Gateshead	9	1	1	7	6	20	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Solihull Moors	Boreham Wood
Scunthorpe	1-3 L	2-1 W
Boston Utd	0-2 L	2-1 W
Harrogate Town	2-5 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Boreham Wood (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Solihull Moors

WLLLLLDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Yeovil England National League	0-1	1-4	1	4	L
15/09	Barrow England National League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	Aldershot England National League	1-0	1-2	10	6	L
05/09	Gateshead England National League	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
31/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-2	1-3	6	4	L
28/08	Scunthorpe England National League	1-1	1-3	8	3	L
22/08	Southend England National League	1-2	1-3	6	5	L
15/08	Boston Utd England National League	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
08/08	Harrogate Town England National League	0-1	2-5	5	1	L
25/04	Yeovil England National League	4-1	4-1	2	4	W

Boreham Wood

DDWWWWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Harrogate Town England National League	2-1	4-1	4	7	W
16/09	Scunthorpe England National League	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
12/09	Eastleigh England National League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
05/09	Carlisle England National League	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
31/08	Worthing England National League	0-1	3-2	6	4	W
27/08	Boston Utd England National League	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
22/08	Forest Green England National League	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
15/08	Halifax England National League	1-0	3-1	10	3	W
08/08	Tamworth England National League	1-1	3-3	10	1	D
10/05	Rochdale England National League	1-0	2-2	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Solihull Moors vs Boreham Wood?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Boreham Wood win (57%). Probabilities: Solihull Moors 21%, draw 22%, Boreham Wood 57%.

How many goals are expected in Solihull Moors vs Boreham Wood?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Solihull Moors 1.31 · Boreham Wood 2.21), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Solihull Moors vs Boreham Wood?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.