Football · England National League · 26/09, 16:00
Prediction: Sutton Utd vs Forest Green
Team pages: Sutton Utd · Forest Green
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Sutton Utd1.14
Forest Green1.39
1X2
Sutton Utd
Draw
Forest Green
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sutton Utd
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Forest Green
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutton Utd
1–1–4
Forest Green
(6 last)
- Sutton Utd1-1Forest Green
- Forest Green4-0Sutton Utd
- Forest Green2-1Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd1-2Forest Green
- Forest Green0-1Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd0-1Forest Green
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sutton Utd 1494 · Forest Green 1475
| Sutton Utd | Draw | Forest Green | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 29% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Forest Green: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutton Utd | Forest Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 3.8 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutton Utd 1–1–4 Forest Green
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 England National League | Sutton Utd | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Forest Green |
| 20/08/25 England National League | Forest Green | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 11/03/25 England National League | Forest Green | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 31/08/24 England National League | Sutton Utd | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Forest Green |
| 16/03/24 England League 2 | Forest Green | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sutton Utd |
| 02/09/23 England League 2 | Sutton Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Forest Green |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton Utd | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 9 | AFC Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutton Utd | Forest Green |
|---|---|---|
| Halifax | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Gateshead | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Altrincham | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Boreham Wood | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | Eastleigh England National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Barrow England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 31/08 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Gateshead England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Hartlepool England National League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Forest Green
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Boston Utd England National League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Carlisle England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Altrincham England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Halifax England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutton Utd vs Forest Green?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Forest Green win (42%). Probabilities: Sutton Utd 31%, draw 27%, Forest Green 42%.
How many goals are expected in Sutton Utd vs Forest Green?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Sutton Utd 1.14 · Forest Green 1.39), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutton Utd vs Forest Green?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.