Football · England National League · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Aldershot vs Wealdstone

Team pages: Aldershot · Wealdstone

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Aldershot1.82

Wealdstone1.65

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Aldershot Draw Wealdstone

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Aldershot 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLWLLL

Wealdstone 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLWLLWDLL

Head-to-head

Aldershot 3–1–2 Wealdstone (6 last)

Wealdstone3-0Aldershot
Aldershot4-1Wealdstone
Wealdstone1-3Aldershot
Aldershot3-1Wealdstone
Aldershot0-2Wealdstone
Wealdstone3-3Aldershot

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aldershot 1490 · Wealdstone 1485

	Aldershot	Draw	Wealdstone
Our model	41%	24%	35%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Aldershot: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aldershot	Wealdstone
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.2	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.92 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +11’	2.25	3.60	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +491’	2.25	3.58	2.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aldershot 3–1–2 Wealdstone

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 England National League	Wealdstone	3-0 HT 1-0	Aldershot
30/12/25 England National League	Aldershot	4-1 HT 3-1	Wealdstone
25/03/25 England National League	Wealdstone	1-3 HT 1-0	Aldershot
07/12/24 England FA Trophy	Aldershot	3-1 HT 0-0	Wealdstone
09/11/24 England National League	Aldershot	0-2 HT 0-1	Wealdstone
30/01/24 England National League	Wealdstone	3-3 HT 2-2	Aldershot

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34	13	35
2	Harrogate Town	13	9	1	3	29	17	28
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31	19	27
4	Yeovil	13	7	4	2	32	15	25
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27	18	24
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20	19	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	7	0	6	15	19	21
10	Halifax	13	6	2	5	22	15	20
11	Kidderminster	13	5	5	3	15	12	20
12	Aldershot	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
13	Sutton Utd	13	5	3	5	14	18	18
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23	20	17
15	Woking	13	4	3	6	20	20	15
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19	22	15
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14	20	15
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21	30	14
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17	24	12
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12	19	12
21	Boston Utd	13	3	3	7	15	23	12
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15	21	10
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13	35	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8	31	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aldershot	Wealdstone
Carlisle	1-3 L	1-1 D
Tamworth	5-1 W	1-2 L
Barrow	0-1 L	1-2 L
Yeovil	1-1 D	0-6 L
Halifax	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Aldershot (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aldershot

WDWWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Altrincham England National League	0-1	1-3	5	5	L
03/10	Carlisle England National League	0-2	1-3	4	4	L
29/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-1	1-2	1	2	L
26/09	Tamworth England National League	4-0	5-1	2	4	W
19/09	Barrow England National League	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
15/09	Yeovil England National League	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Solihull Moors England National League	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
05/09	Halifax England National League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
31/08	Eastleigh England National League	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
28/08	Harrogate Town England National League	3-0	3-1	7	4	W

Wealdstone

DWLWLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Yeovil England National League	0-1	0-6	5	4	L
03/10	Barrow England National League	1-1	1-2	3	9	L
29/09	Forest Green England National League	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
26/09	Gateshead England National League	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
19/09	Tamworth England National League	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
15/09	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
12/09	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
05/09	Kidderminster England National League	1-1	1-4	10	6	L
31/08	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
28/08	Carlisle England National League	0-1	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aldershot vs Wealdstone?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aldershot win (41%). Probabilities: Aldershot 41%, draw 25%, Wealdstone 34%.

How many goals are expected in Aldershot vs Wealdstone?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Aldershot 1.82 · Wealdstone 1.65), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Aldershot vs Wealdstone?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.