Football · England National League · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Solihull Moors vs Kidderminster

Team pages: Solihull Moors · Kidderminster

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Solihull Moors1.23

Kidderminster1.47

1X2

31% 27% 42%

Solihull Moors Draw Kidderminster

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Solihull Moors 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWLLL

Kidderminster 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLLDDL

Head-to-head

Solihull Moors 2–1–3 Kidderminster (6 last)

Kidderminster2-1Solihull Moors
Kidderminster1-2Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors0-1Kidderminster
Kidderminster0-1Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors0-3Kidderminster
Solihull Moors1-1Kidderminster

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Solihull Moors 1436 · Kidderminster 1505

	Solihull Moors	Draw	Kidderminster
Our model	31%	28%	41%
Market	31%	26%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kidderminster (rating 1436 vs 1505).
H2H favours Kidderminster: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Solihull Moors	Kidderminster
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.4	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 4.1	1.7 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.50

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:36 +7’	2.90	3.50	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Solihull Moors 2–1–3 Kidderminster

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/10/26 England FA Cup Qualification	Kidderminster	2-1 HT 1-0	Solihull Moors
02/08/25 UK Friendlies	Kidderminster	1-2 HT 1-0	Solihull Moors
27/02/24 England National League	Solihull Moors	0-1 HT 0-0	Kidderminster
16/09/23 England National League	Kidderminster	0-1 HT 0-1	Solihull Moors
28/07/18 Club Friendly List	Solihull Moors	0-3 HT 0-2	Kidderminster
08/07/14 Club Friendly List	Solihull Moors	1-1 HT 1-0	Kidderminster

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	14	12	2	0	38	13	38
2	Harrogate Town	14	10	1	3	32	18	31
3	Southend	14	8	4	2	33	21	28
4	Worthing	14	8	3	3	29	19	27
5	Altrincham	14	9	0	5	22	20	27
6	Yeovil	14	7	4	3	33	17	25
7	AFC Fylde	14	7	2	5	24	22	23
8	Halifax	14	6	3	5	24	17	21
9	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
10	AFC Hornchurch	14	7	0	7	16	21	21
11	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25	21	20
12	Kidderminster	14	5	5	4	16	14	20
13	Woking	14	5	3	6	23	22	18
14	Aldershot	14	5	3	6	18	17	18
15	Eastleigh	14	5	3	6	18	22	18
16	Sutton Utd	14	5	3	6	15	21	18
17	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19	22	15
18	Wealdstone	14	4	3	7	18	24	15
19	Hartlepool	14	5	0	9	14	20	15
20	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21	30	14
21	Boston Utd	14	3	3	8	17	27	12
22	Scunthorpe	13	3	1	9	17	24	10
23	Solihull Moors	14	2	1	11	14	37	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8	31	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Solihull Moors	Kidderminster
Carlisle	1-2 L	0-0 D
Worthing	0-5 L	1-2 L
Woking	4-2 W	0-0 D
Boreham Wood	0-3 L	1-3 L
Yeovil	1-4 L	0-1 L
Barrow	1-0 W	1-1 D
Gateshead	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kidderminster (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Solihull Moors

LDLWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Carlisle England National League	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
10/10	Worthing England National League	0-3	0-5	7	1	L
03/10	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
29/09	Woking England National League	3-2	4-2	1	6	W
26/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
18/09	Yeovil England National League	0-1	1-4	1	4	L
15/09	Barrow England National League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	Aldershot England National League	1-0	1-2	10	6	L
05/09	Gateshead England National League	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
31/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-2	1-3	6	4	L

Kidderminster

DWWWDLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Worthing England National League	1-0	1-2	12	3	L
10/10	Carlisle England National League	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
03/10	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	1-1	0	2	D
29/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-2	1-3	0	4	L
26/09	Yeovil England National League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/09	Woking England National League	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
16/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
11/09	Hartlepool England National League	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
05/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	4-1	0	6	W
31/08	Barrow England National League	1-1	1-1	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Solihull Moors vs Kidderminster?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kidderminster win (42%). Probabilities: Solihull Moors 31%, draw 27%, Kidderminster 42%.

How many goals are expected in Solihull Moors vs Kidderminster?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Solihull Moors 1.23 · Kidderminster 1.47), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Solihull Moors vs Kidderminster?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.