Football · England National League · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Wealdstone vs Southend

Team pages: Wealdstone · Southend

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Wealdstone1.11

Southend2.03

1X2

20% 22% 58%

Wealdstone Draw Southend

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Wealdstone 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWDLLW

Southend 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLDWWD

Head-to-head

Wealdstone 2–2–2 Southend (6 last)

Southend0-0Wealdstone
Southend2-1Wealdstone
Wealdstone1-0Southend
Wealdstone3-2Southend
Southend3-0Wealdstone
Wealdstone1-1Southend

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wealdstone 1524 · Southend 1532

	Wealdstone	Draw	Southend
Our model	19%	23%	58%
Market	20%	22%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wealdstone	Southend
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	2.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	2.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.5	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.20

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:41 +2’	4.50	4.20	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wealdstone 2–2–2 Southend

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 England FA Trophy	Southend	0-0 HT 0-0	Wealdstone
25/04/26 England National League	Southend	2-1 HT 2-1	Wealdstone
01/11/25 England FA Cup	Wealdstone	1-0 HT 1-0	Southend
02/09/25 England National League	Wealdstone	3-2 HT 1-1	Southend
26/04/25 England National League	Southend	3-0 HT 1-0	Wealdstone
24/09/24 England National League	Wealdstone	1-1 HT 0-0	Southend

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	14	12	2	0	38	13	38
2	Harrogate Town	14	10	1	3	32	18	31
3	Southend	14	8	4	2	33	21	28
4	Worthing	14	8	3	3	29	19	27
5	Altrincham	14	9	0	5	22	20	27
6	Yeovil	14	7	4	3	33	17	25
7	AFC Fylde	14	7	2	5	24	22	23
8	Halifax	14	6	3	5	24	17	21
9	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
10	AFC Hornchurch	14	7	0	7	16	21	21
11	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25	21	20
12	Kidderminster	14	5	5	4	16	14	20
13	Woking	14	5	3	6	23	22	18
14	Aldershot	14	5	3	6	18	17	18
15	Eastleigh	14	5	3	6	18	22	18
16	Sutton Utd	14	5	3	6	15	21	18
17	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19	22	15
18	Wealdstone	14	4	3	7	18	24	15
19	Hartlepool	14	5	0	9	14	20	15
20	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21	30	14
21	Boston Utd	14	3	3	8	17	27	12
22	Scunthorpe	13	3	1	9	17	24	10
23	Solihull Moors	14	2	1	11	14	37	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8	31	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wealdstone	Southend
Yeovil	0-6 L	3-2 W
Barrow	1-2 L	2-4 L
Gateshead	4-0 W	6-1 W
Tamworth	1-2 L	3-1 W
Halifax	0-1 L	2-2 D
Boston Utd	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Southend (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wealdstone

WLWLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Aldershot England National League	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
10/10	Yeovil England National League	0-1	0-6	5	4	L
03/10	Barrow England National League	1-1	1-2	3	9	L
29/09	Forest Green England National League	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
26/09	Gateshead England National League	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
19/09	Tamworth England National League	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
15/09	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
12/09	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
05/09	Kidderminster England National League	1-1	1-4	10	6	L
31/08	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	2-0	3	5	W

Southend

DWDWWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Halifax England National League	1-1	2-2	5	1	D
10/10	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
03/10	AFC Fylde England National League	2-1	3-1	8	2	W
30/09	Eastleigh England National League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
26/09	Barrow England National League	0-0	2-4	5	6	L
19/09	Gateshead England National League	6-0	6-1	3	2	W
15/09	Tamworth England National League	0-0	3-1	9	1	W
12/09	Carlisle England National League	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
05/09	Yeovil England National League	0-1	3-2	9	4	W
31/08	Woking England National League	1-0	1-1	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wealdstone vs Southend?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Southend win (58%). Probabilities: Wealdstone 20%, draw 22%, Southend 58%.

How many goals are expected in Wealdstone vs Southend?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Wealdstone 1.11 · Southend 2.03), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wealdstone vs Southend?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.